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Serie A
Referee: Manuel Volpi
Chievo
T T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Genoa
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 17%
4%
29%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 20. · Genoa 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 24 21 3 0 +37 66
2 Napoli 24 16 5 3 +24 53
3 Inter 24 14 4 6 +17 46
4 Milan 25 12 9 4 +16 45
5 Roma 25 12 8 5 +16 44
6 Atalanta 25 11 5 9 +15 38
7 Torino 25 9 11 5 +8 38
8 Lazio 24 11 5 8 +6 38
9 Sampdoria 25 10 6 9 +9 36
10 Fiorentina 24 8 11 5 +11 35
11 Sassuolo 24 7 9 8 -5 30
12 Parma 24 8 5 11 -8 29
13 Genoa 24 7 7 10 -9 28
14 Cagliari 25 5 9 11 -15 24
15 Udinese 24 5 7 12 -12 22
16 Spal 24 5 7 12 -15 22
17 Empoli 25 5 6 14 -18 21
18 Bologna 24 3 9 12 -18 18
19 Frosinone 25 3 7 15 -30 16
20 Chievo 24 1 9 14 -29 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Genoa
26′
🟨 Lukas Lerager
Sofian Kiyine 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 D. Lazović
↦ L. Lerager
A. Dioussé 🔁
↦ S. Kiyine
59′
65′
🔁 Miguel Veloso
↦ E. Rolón
F. Đorđević 🔁
↦ N. Rigoni
75′
75′
🔁 G. Pandev
↦ A. Sanabria
Përparim Hetemaj 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Christian Kouamé
90′
🟨 Davide Biraschi
Lucas Piazon 🔁
↦ M. Léris
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Chievo

4-3-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
2 E. Schelotto D
5 F. Barba D
14 M. Bani D
44 P. Jaroszyński D
4 N. Rigoni M
56 P. Hetemaj M
11 M. Léris F
13 S. Kiyine M
69 R. Meggiorini F
9 M. Stępiński F
Bench (12)
8 A. Dioussé
20 F. Đorđević
7 Lucas Piazon
12 B. Cesar
10 M. Pucciarelli
55 Emanuel Vignato
33 M. Andreolli
25 S. Grubac
3 S. Tanasijević
15 L. Rossettini
1 A. Šemper
21 M. Burruchaga

Coach: D. Di Carlo

Genoa

4-3-1-2
97 I. Radu G
4 D. Criscito D
87 E. Zukanović D
14 D. Biraschi D
17 C. Romero D
21 I. Radovanović M
8 L. Lerager M
24 Daniel Bessa M
18 E. Rolón M
9 A. Sanabria F
11 C. Kouamé F
Bench (10)
22 D. Lazović
44 Miguel Veloso
19 G. Pandev
3 K. Günter
93 Jandrei
26 N. Dalmonte
32 Pedro Pereira
13 G. Pezzella
1 F. Marchetti
33 I. Lakićević

Coach: C. Prandelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.