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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Manganiello
Frosinone
T U T T T
3–2
Full-time
Parma
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,5
This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 21%
10%
31%
Points per game
0,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
55%
Both score Ø 40%
31%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 19. · Parma 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 30 26 3 1 +43 81
2 Napoli 30 19 6 5 +31 63
3 Inter 29 16 5 8 +18 53
4 Milan 30 14 10 6 +16 52
5 Atalanta 29 14 6 9 +20 48
6 Lazio 28 14 6 8 +13 48
7 Roma 29 13 8 8 +10 47
8 Sampdoria 29 13 6 10 +12 45
9 Torino 29 11 12 6 +11 45
10 Fiorentina 29 8 14 7 +8 38
11 Genoa 29 8 9 12 -10 33
12 Cagliari 30 8 9 13 -14 33
13 Parma 29 9 6 14 -16 33
14 Sassuolo 29 7 11 11 -9 32
15 Udinese 29 7 8 14 -14 29
16 Spal 29 7 8 14 -16 29
17 Empoli 30 7 7 16 -18 28
18 Bologna 29 6 9 14 -16 27
19 Frosinone 29 3 8 18 -33 17
20 Chievo 29 1 11 17 -36 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Nov -18 Parma – Frosinone 0–0

Match report

Frosinone Parma
12′
🟨 Francisco Sierralta
1–0 A. Pinamonti
L. Valzania
12′
18′
A. Barillà 1–1
R. Gagliolo
Nicolò Brighenti 🟨
25′
Luca Valzania 🟨
27′
41′
🟨 Marcello Gazzola
Marco Capuano 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 L. Valzania
A. Pinamonti
47′
52′
🔁 F. Ceravolo
↦ N. Schiappacase
58′
F. Ceravolo 2–2
59′
🟨 Fabio Ceravolo
66′
🔁 M. Gobbi
↦ M. Scozzarella
R. Maiello 🔁
↦ P. Sammarco
72′
79′
🔁 A. Bastoni
↦ M. Gazzola
R. Chibsah 🔁
↦ L. Valzania
80′
D. Ciofani 🔁
↦ M. Trotta
84′
90′
🟨 Massimo Gobbi
3–2 D. Ciofani
103′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Frosinone

3-4-1-2
57 M. Sportiello G
27 B. Salamon D
23 N. Brighenti D
25 M. Capuano D
21 P. Sammarco M
7 L. Paganini M
33 A. Beghetto M
16 L. Valzania M
28 C. Ciano F
20 M. Trotta F
89 A. Pinamonti F
Bench (12)
8 R. Maiello
66 R. Chibsah
9 D. Ciofani
18 F. Dionisi
24 F. Cassata
3 C. Molinaro
22 F. Bardi
2 P. Ghiglione
32 L. Krajnc
17 F. Zampano
6 E. Goldaniga
4 S. Simič

Coach: M. Baroni

Parma

4-3-3
55 L. Sepe G
23 M. Gazzola D
2 S. Iacoponi D
28 R. Gagliolo D
13 F. Sierralta D
17 A. Barillà M
87 J. Kucka M
21 M. Scozzarella M
93 M. Sprocati F
26 L. Siligardi F
10 N. Schiappacase F
Bench (11)
9 F. Ceravolo
18 M. Gobbi
95 A. Bastoni
32 L. Rigoni
14 Pepín
5 L. Štulac
3 F. Dimarco
31 Gabriel Brazão
8 A. Diakhaté
33 J. Dezi
1 P. Frattali

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianluca Manganiello · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.