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La Liga
Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega
Huesca
U S T T T
3–3
Full-time
Celta
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
24%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 59%
55%
62%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
22 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 0
0 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huesca 20. · Celta 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 30 21 7 2 +48 70
2 Ath Madrid 30 18 8 4 +26 62
3 Real Madrid 29 18 3 8 +18 57
4 Getafe 30 12 11 7 +10 47
5 Alaves 29 12 8 9 -4 44
6 Sevilla 29 12 7 10 +10 43
7 Valencia 29 9 16 4 +8 43
8 Ath Bilbao 30 10 13 7 -1 43
9 Betis 29 11 7 11 -4 40
10 Sociedad 29 9 10 10 +0 37
11 Eibar 29 8 12 9 -2 36
12 Leganes 29 9 9 11 -5 36
13 Espanol 30 9 8 13 -11 35
14 Girona 30 8 10 12 -9 34
15 Levante 30 8 8 14 -12 32
16 Villarreal 30 6 12 12 -5 30
17 Valladolid 29 7 9 13 -16 30
18 Celta 29 7 7 15 -10 28
19 Vallecano 29 6 6 17 -21 24
20 Huesca 29 5 7 17 -20 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Dec -18 Celta – Huesca 2–0

Match report

Huesca Celta
14′
Brais Méndez 0–1
Iago Aspas
18′
🟨 Brais Méndez
20′
🔁 R. Boudebouz
↦ Brais Méndez
Jorge Pulido 🟨
25′
David Ferreiro 🔁
↦ D. Musto
35′
Half-time 0–1
52′
🟨 Lucas Olaza
Xabier Etxeita 🟨
55′
57′
Iago Aspas 0–2
Enric Gallego 🔁
↦ Y. Herrera
58′
1–2 Enric Gallego
63′
2–2 E. Ávila
71′
3–2 Jorge Pulido
73′
Gonzalo Melero 🔁
↦ E. Ávila
77′
81′
R. Boudebouz 3–3
Iago Aspas
82′
🔁 E. Mor
↦ Iago Aspas
88′
🟨 Emre Mor
90′
🔁 Jozabed
↦ S. Boufal
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Huesca

5-3-2
13 Santamaría G
3 Etxeita D
14 Jorge Pulido D
2 M. Mantovani D
12 Javier Galán D
23 D. Musto M
6 Moi Gómez M
21 Y. Herrera M
17 Christian Rivera M
19 E. Ávila F
9 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
7 David Ferreiro
22 Enric Gallego
8 Gonzalo Melero
25 A. Jovanović
20 J. Añor
11 Álex Gallar
4 Adrián Diéguez

Coach: Francisco

Celta

4-4-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
15 L. Olaza D
12 W. Hoedt D
5 O. Yokuşlu M
14 S. Lobotka M
19 S. Boufal M
23 Brais Méndez M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
24 R. Boudebouz
7 E. Mor
21 Jozabed
8 Fran Beltrán
3 David Costas
20 Kevin Vázquez
1 Sergio Álvarez

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrian Cordero Vega · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.