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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Ath Bilbao
S T U S S
3–2
Full-time
Levante
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 30%
31%
28%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
34%
62%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,1
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Levante 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 30 21 7 2 +48 70
2 Ath Madrid 30 18 8 4 +26 62
3 Real Madrid 29 18 3 8 +18 57
4 Getafe 30 12 11 7 +10 47
5 Alaves 29 12 8 9 -4 44
6 Sevilla 29 12 7 10 +10 43
7 Valencia 29 9 16 4 +8 43
8 Ath Bilbao 29 9 13 7 -2 40
9 Betis 29 11 7 11 -4 40
10 Sociedad 29 9 10 10 +0 37
11 Eibar 29 8 12 9 -2 36
12 Leganes 29 9 9 11 -5 36
13 Espanol 30 9 8 13 -11 35
14 Girona 30 8 10 12 -9 34
15 Levante 29 8 8 13 -11 32
16 Villarreal 30 6 12 12 -5 30
17 Valladolid 29 7 9 13 -16 30
18 Celta 29 7 7 15 -10 28
19 Vallecano 29 6 6 17 -21 24
20 Huesca 29 5 7 17 -20 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Levante
4′
🟨 José Luis Morales
1–0 Yuri
Iñigo Córdoba
5′
Raúl García 🟨
6′
1–1 Aitor Fernández
own goal
27′
43′
🟨 Rubén Vezo
45′
🟨 Sergio Postigo
Half-time 1–2
51′
Roger Martí 1–2
Muniain 🔁
↦ Raúl García
58′
65′
🔁 Luna
↦ Coke
69′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ Rubén Rochina
Ibai Gómez 🔁
↦ Ander Capa
72′
Yuri Berchiche 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Roger
Iker Muniain 🟨
78′
Iturraspe 🔁
↦ Beñat
79′
80′
🔁 M. Simon
↦ Rúben Vezo
85′
🟨 Erick Cabaco
89′
E. Cabaco 1–3
Campaña
90′
🟨 Erick Cabaco
90′
🟨 Moses Simon
90′
🟥 Erick Cabaco
2–3 Muniain
93′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
13 Iago Herrerín G
18 De Marcos D
12 Yuri D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
21 Ander Capa D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
22 Raúl García M
6 San José M
7 Beñat M
11 Iñigo Córdoba M
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
10 Muniain
19 Ibai Gómez
8 Iturraspe
25 Unai Simón
2 Kenan Kodro
3 Unai Núñez
24 Balenziaga

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Levante

4-3-3
25 Aitor Fernández G
12 Coke D
15 Sergio Postigo D
14 Rúben Vezo D
18 E. Cabaco D
4 Rober D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales F
9 Roger Martí F
23 Jason M
Bench (7)
22 Luna
2 Borja Mayoral
7 M. Simon
1 Koke
27 Fran Manzanara
32 Pepelu
6 Chema

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.