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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Frosinone
T S T T U
1–2
Full-time
Torino
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 25%
12%
38%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 37%
27%
46%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 19. · Torino 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 27 24 3 0 +42 75
2 Napoli 26 17 5 4 +27 56
3 Milan 27 14 9 4 +18 51
4 Inter 26 14 5 7 +16 47
5 Roma 26 12 8 6 +13 44
6 Atalanta 26 12 5 9 +17 41
7 Torino 26 10 11 5 +11 41
8 Lazio 25 12 5 8 +9 41
9 Sampdoria 26 11 6 9 +10 39
10 Fiorentina 26 8 12 6 +9 36
11 Parma 27 9 6 12 -11 33
12 Sassuolo 26 7 10 9 -6 31
13 Genoa 27 7 9 11 -10 30
14 Cagliari 27 6 9 12 -16 27
15 Udinese 26 6 7 13 -14 25
16 Spal 26 5 8 13 -16 23
17 Empoli 26 5 7 14 -18 22
18 Bologna 27 4 9 14 -18 21
19 Frosinone 26 3 8 15 -30 17
20 Chievo 27 1 10 16 -33 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Torino
Marco Capuano 🟨
22′
30′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
37′
🟨 Soualiho Meïté
1–0 L. Paganini
C. Ciano
42′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 Iago Falqué
↦ S. Meïté
56′
A. Belotti 1–1
Iago Falqué
69′
🔁 O. Aina
↦ L. De Silvestri
Camillo Ciano 🟨
71′
M. Trotta 🔁
↦ R. Maiello
73′
77′
A. Belotti 1–2
O. Aina
82′
🟨 Simone Zaza
D. Ciofani 🔁
↦ M. Capuano
83′
85′
🟨 Ola Aina
86′
🔁 Álex Berenguer
↦ S. Zaza
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Frosinone

3-5-2
57 M. Sportiello G
3 C. Molinaro D
27 B. Salamon D
25 M. Capuano D
6 E. Goldaniga D
8 R. Maiello M
7 L. Paganini M
5 M. Gori M
66 R. Chibsah M
28 C. Ciano F
89 A. Pinamonti F
Bench (11)
20 M. Trotta
9 D. Ciofani
15 L. Ariaudo
16 L. Valzania
33 A. Beghetto
17 F. Zampano
23 N. Brighenti
4 S. Simič
91 A. Iacobucci
18 F. Dionisi
32 L. Krajnc

Coach: M. Baroni

Torino

3-5-2
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli M
11 S. Zaza F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (10)
14 Iago Falqué
34 O. Aina
21 Álex Berenguer
30 K. Djidji
36 Bremer
17 W. Singo
25 A. Rosati
7 S. Lukić
1 S. Ichazo
27 V. Parigini

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.