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Ligue 1

Referee: Ruddy Buquet

Paris SG

S S S U S

5–1

Full-time

Lyon

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 62%

82%

41%

Points per game

2,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

59%

41%

Both score Ø 35%

41%

29%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,4

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,9

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

64% Possession 36%

11 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Lyon 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	3	0	+32	45
2	Angers	18	8	7	3	+7	31
3	Monaco	18	8	7	3	+2	31
4	Caen	18	9	3	6	+2	30
5	Nice	18	7	5	6	+8	26
6	Lyon	17	7	5	5	+5	26
7	St Etienne	18	8	2	8	-1	26
8	Lorient	18	6	7	5	+1	25
9	Marseille	18	6	6	6	+7	24
10	Rennes	18	5	9	4	+2	24
11	Lille	18	5	8	5	+2	23
12	Nantes	18	6	5	7	-3	23
13	Montpellier	18	6	4	8	-2	22
14	Bordeaux	18	5	7	6	-5	22
15	Reims	18	5	6	7	-3	21
16	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	18	5	6	7	-3	21
17	Bastia	18	5	4	9	-6	19
18	Guingamp	18	5	4	9	-8	19
19	Toulouse	18	3	7	8	-12	16
20	Troyes	18	0	7	11	-25	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	St Etienne	9	5	2	2	+6	17
3	Bordeaux	9	5	2	2	+4	17
4	Caen	9	5	1	3	-1	16
5	Lorient	9	4	3	2	+6	15
6	Bastia	9	5	0	4	+3	15
7	Angers	10	3	6	1	+2	15
8	Montpellier	10	5	0	5	+0	15
9	Lyon	9	4	2	3	+4	14
10	Lille	9	4	2	3	+4	14
11	Reims	10	3	4	3	+2	13
12	Monaco	9	3	4	2	-1	13
13	Guingamp	8	3	3	2	+3	12
14	Nantes	9	3	3	3	-1	12
15	Marseille	10	2	5	3	+6	11
16	Nice	8	3	1	4	+3	10
17	Toulouse	8	2	4	2	+1	10
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	8	2	4	2	+1	10
19	Rennes	9	2	4	3	-2	10
20	Troyes	10	0	5	5	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	2	0	+15	26
2	Monaco	9	5	3	1	+3	18
3	Nice	10	4	4	2	+5	16
4	Angers	8	5	1	2	+5	16
5	Rennes	9	3	5	1	+4	14
6	Caen	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Marseille	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Nantes	9	3	2	4	-2	11
10	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	10	3	2	5	-4	11
11	Lorient	9	2	4	3	-5	10
12	Lille	9	1	6	2	-2	9
13	St Etienne	9	3	0	6	-7	9
14	Reims	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Montpellier	8	1	4	3	-2	7
16	Guingamp	10	2	1	7	-11	7
17	Toulouse	10	1	3	6	-13	6
18	Bordeaux	9	0	5	4	-9	5
19	Bastia	9	0	4	5	-9	4
20	Troyes	8	0	2	6	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.