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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Zwolle

T U S T U

2–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 38%

43%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

57%

60%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

53%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

12 Corners 7

4 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 8. · AZ Alkmaar 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	2	2	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	10	5	1	+22	35
3	Feyenoord	15	11	2	2	+21	35
4	Heracles	14	8	2	4	+7	26
5	Groningen	15	7	4	4	+0	25
6	Vitesse	15	7	3	5	+14	24
7	Nijmegen	16	7	3	6	+2	24
8	Zwolle	14	6	4	4	+4	22
9	Heerenveen	16	5	5	6	-3	20
10	Utrecht	14	5	4	5	+0	19
11	AZ Alkmaar	15	5	3	7	-4	18
12	Den Haag	16	3	8	5	-5	17
13	Excelsior	16	4	5	7	-8	17
14	Roda	16	3	7	6	-15	16
15	Willem II	16	3	6	7	-2	15
16	Twente	16	3	4	9	-19	13
17	Cambuur	16	1	7	8	-24	10
18	De Graafschap	16	1	2	13	-23	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Groningen	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+21	18
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	2	0	+10	17
5	Nijmegen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Heracles	7	5	1	1	+7	16
7	Vitesse	8	5	0	3	+10	15
8	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
9	Heerenveen	8	4	3	1	+5	15
10	Zwolle	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Roda	9	2	5	2	-3	11
12	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	Twente	8	3	1	4	-7	10
14	Willem II	8	2	3	3	+2	9
15	Den Haag	8	1	6	1	+0	9
16	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Cambuur	9	1	4	4	-12	7
18	De Graafschap	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+12	18
3	Feyenoord	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Zwolle	7	3	2	2	+5	11
5	Heracles	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Vitesse	7	2	3	2	+4	9
7	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	-5	9
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-5	8
10	Nijmegen	8	2	1	5	-5	7
11	Willem II	8	1	3	4	-4	6
12	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
13	Heerenveen	8	1	2	5	-8	5
14	Roda	7	1	2	4	-12	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	De Graafschap	8	1	1	6	-11	4
17	Cambuur	7	0	3	4	-12	3
18	Twente	8	0	3	5	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.