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Ligue 1
Referee: Tony Chapron
Caen
S S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Rennes
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 39%
42%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
35%
Both score Ø 52%
42%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 11. · Rennes 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 27 23 4 0 +54 73
2 Monaco 27 13 10 4 +10 49
3 Nice 27 11 8 8 +9 41
4 St Etienne 27 12 5 10 +2 41
5 Lyon 26 11 6 9 +10 39
6 Nantes 26 10 9 7 +2 39
7 Rennes 26 9 11 6 +3 38
8 Angers 27 10 7 10 +0 37
9 Bordeaux 27 9 10 8 -3 37
10 Marseille 27 8 12 7 +9 36
11 Caen 26 11 3 12 -8 36
12 Lorient 27 8 10 9 -2 34
13 Bastia 26 10 4 12 -4 34
14 Montpellier 27 9 5 13 +0 32
15 Lille 26 6 13 7 +0 31
16 Guingamp 27 8 7 12 -7 31
17 Reims 27 7 8 12 -10 29
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 27 6 10 11 -10 28
19 Toulouse 27 4 10 13 -19 22
20 Troyes 27 2 8 17 -36 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Dec -15 Rennes – Caen 1–1

Match report

Caen Rennes
24′
🟨 Pedro Mendes
Half-time 0–0
Andy Delort 🟨
47′
1–0 S. Ntibazonkiza
H. Bazile
54′
59′
🔁 S. Salles Lamonge
↦ Y. Gourcuff
J. Adéoti 🔁
↦ H. Bazile
72′
72′
🔁 K. Grosicki
↦ Pedro Henrique
81′
🔁 J. Boga
↦ P. Ntep
M. Nkololo 🔁
↦ R. Rodelin
85′
J. Leborgne 🔁
↦ N. Seube
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Caen

1 R. Vercoutre G
5 A. Yahia D
28 D. Da Silva D
12 D. Appiah D
10 S. Ntibazonkiza
2 N. Seube M
11 V. Bessat D
25 J. Féret M
23 R. Rodelin F
20 H. Bazile F
9 A. Delort F
Bench (7)
18 J. Adéoti
8 M. Nkololo
19 J. Leborgne
13 S. Ben Youssef
17 J. Makengo
24 C. Kouakou
30 P. Reulet

Rennes

1 B. Costil
22 S. Armand D
5 Pedro Mendes D
3 C. M'Bengue D
2 M. Zeffane D
28 Y. Gourcuff M
6 G. Fernandes M
21 B. André M
18 Pedro Henrique F
7 P. Ntep M
23 O. Dembèlé F
Bench (7)
34 S. Salles Lamonge
10 K. Grosicki
17 J. Boga
13 G. Sio
24 L. Baal
29 R. Danzé
40 A. Diallo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tony Chapron · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.