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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
De Graafschap
T S T U U
2–2
Full-time
Vitesse
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
13%
43%
Points per game
0,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
65%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match De Graafschap 17. · Vitesse 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 18 5 1 +38 59
2 Ajax 23 17 4 2 +38 55
3 AZ Alkmaar 24 12 4 8 +10 40
4 Vitesse 23 10 6 7 +21 36
5 Feyenoord 23 11 3 9 +9 36
6 Nijmegen 24 10 6 8 +1 36
7 Zwolle 22 10 5 7 +7 35
8 Heracles 22 10 5 7 +1 35
9 Groningen 23 9 7 7 -3 34
10 Den Haag 24 7 9 8 -1 30
11 Heerenveen 24 8 6 10 -11 30
12 Twente 24 8 4 12 -15 28
13 Utrecht 20 7 5 8 +0 26
14 Roda 23 5 9 9 -16 24
15 Willem II 23 4 10 9 -4 22
16 Excelsior 23 4 7 12 -18 19
17 De Graafschap 23 3 4 16 -23 13
18 Cambuur 24 2 7 15 -34 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

De Graafschap Vitesse
16′
M. Nakamba 0–1
K. Diks
Tolgahan Cicek 🟨
29′
1–1 V. Vermeij
40′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 V. Vermeij
A. Driver
47′
60′
🟨 Kosuke Ota
73′
🟨 Sheran Yeini
J. Tesselaar 🔁
↦ T. Cicek
75′
75′
🔁 Zhang Yuning
↦ V. Qazaishvili
D. Koolhof 🔁
↦ Y. El Jebli
80′
81′
🔁 Nathan
↦ D. Oliynyk
Lion Kaak 🟨
82′
P. Parzyszek 🔁
↦ V. Vermeij
83′
84′
L. Baker 2–2
90′
🟨 Kosuke Ota
90′
🟥 Kosuke Ota
91′
🔁 A. Kruiswijk
↦ M. Rashica
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

De Graafschap

1 H. Jurjus G
4 T. van de Pavert D
19 N. Will D
3 R. Pröpper D
25 T. Cicek D
15 A. Driver M
14 B. Smeets M
6 L. Kaak M
20 Y. El Jebli M
13 C. Peters F
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (7)
5 J. Tesselaar
10 D. Koolhof
43 P. Parzyszek
12 B. Straalman
23 K. Vida
29 T. Menting
41 E. Verstappen

Vitesse

1 E. Room G
8 K. Ōta D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
17 K. Diks D
11 D. Oliynyk M
21 S. Yeini M
34 L. Baker M
26 M. Rashica F
18 M. Nakamba M
10 V. Qazaishvili M
Bench (7)
43 Zhang Yuning
13 Nathan
6 A. Kruiswijk
22 P. Velthuizen
41 M. Osman
42 M. van Bergen
49 J. Lelieveld

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.