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Ligue 1
Referee: Ruddy Buquet
Rennes
T U S T S
4–1
Full-time
Nantes
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 28/27 matches
Win Ø 37%
36%
37%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
36%
33%
Both score Ø 49%
61%
37%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 7. · Nantes 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 29 23 5 1 +53 74
2 Monaco 29 13 12 4 +10 51
3 Nice 29 12 8 9 +8 44
4 Caen 29 13 4 12 -6 43
5 Lyon 28 12 6 10 +10 42
6 St Etienne 29 12 6 11 +1 42
7 Rennes 28 10 11 7 +3 41
8 Nantes 27 10 10 7 +2 40
9 Angers 29 10 9 10 +0 39
10 Lorient 29 9 11 9 -1 38
11 Bastia 28 11 5 12 -2 38
12 Bordeaux 29 9 11 9 -6 38
13 Marseille 28 8 13 7 +9 37
14 Lille 29 8 13 8 +0 37
15 Montpellier 29 10 6 13 +3 36
16 Guingamp 28 8 8 12 -7 32
17 Reims 29 8 8 13 -9 32
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 28 6 11 11 -10 29
19 Toulouse 29 4 11 14 -20 23
20 Troyes 29 2 8 19 -38 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Sep -15 Nantes – Rennes 0–2

Match report

Rennes Nantes
1–0 O. Dembèlé
1′
2–0 K. Grosicki
R. Danzé
15′
3–0 O. Dembèlé
23′
24′
🟨 Kolbeinn Sigthorsson
Sylvain Armand 🟨
28′
Giovanni Sio 🟨
35′
45′
🟨 Oswaldo Vizcarrondo
4–0 O. Dembèlé
G. Sio
45′
Half-time 4–1
60′
Adryan 4–1
A. Thomasson
61′
🔁 Y. Bammou
↦ Adryan
61′
🔁 J. Audel
↦ A. Thomasson
L. Baal 🔁
↦ Y. Gourcuff
65′
Giovanni Sio 🟨
67′
Giovanni Sio 🟥
67′
72′
🔁 E. Sala
↦ K. Sigþórsson
79′
🟨 Johan Audel
J. Boga 🔁
↦ O. Dembèlé
80′
J. Gnagnon 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
85′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Rennes

1 B. Costil
29 R. Danzé D
22 S. Armand D
5 Pedro Mendes D
3 C. M'Bengue D
28 Y. Gourcuff M
6 G. Fernandes M
21 B. André M
10 K. Grosicki M
13 G. Sio F
23 O. Dembèlé F
Bench (7)
24 L. Baal
17 J. Boga
33 J. Gnagnon
2 M. Zeffane
11 J. Quintero
18 Pedro Henrique
40 A. Diallo

Nantes

1 R. Riou
5 L. Cana
4 O. Vizcarrondo D
27 G. Gillet M
13 W. Moimbé D
14 Y. Sabaly D
6 R. Gomis
7 A. Bedoya M
9 K. Sigþórsson F
23 Adryan M
8 A. Thomasson M
Bench (7)
10 Y. Bammou
21 J. Audel
22 E. Sala
12 Birama Touré
15 L. Dubois
26 K. Djidji
30 M. Dupé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ruddy Buquet · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.