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Eliteserien
Referee: D Higraff
Sandefjord
T S S T T
1–4
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,0
This season — Eliteserien · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 52%
33%
71%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
100%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
3,7
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,9
Conceded
2,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 13. · Lillestrom 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Viking 8 6 1 1 +11 19
2 Lillestrom 7 5 2 0 +9 17
3 Molde 7 4 1 2 +6 13
4 Sarpsborg 08 6 3 1 2 +3 10
5 Stromsgodset 7 3 1 3 -1 10
6 Valerenga 7 3 1 3 -2 10
7 Bodo/Glimt 6 2 3 1 +3 9
8 Rosenborg 6 2 3 1 +1 9
9 Tromso 7 2 3 2 -3 9
10 Aalesund 7 2 2 3 -3 8
11 Ham-Kam 6 1 4 1 +2 7
12 Jerv 6 2 1 3 -6 7
13 Sandefjord 6 2 0 4 -2 6
14 Haugesund 7 2 0 5 -3 6
15 Odd 7 2 0 5 -7 6
16 Kristiansund 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Lillestrom
1–0 J. Taaje
M. Ofkir
4′
8′
P. Slørdahl 2–0
own goal
26′
J. Storevik 3–0
own goal
44′
I. Ogbu 3–1
Y. Ibrahimaj
Half-time 3–1
H. Singh 🔁
↦ K. Boya
57′
Y. Chaib 🔁
↦ F. Nyenetue
57′
59′
A. Adams 3–2
66′
🔁 T. Svendsen
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
67′
🔁 C. Rösler
↦ I. Ogbu
67′
🔁 K. Kairinen
↦ I. Mathew
67′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ A. Adams
Aleksander Nilsson 🟨
73′
A. Ordagić 🔁
↦ W. Kurtović
74′
S. Gussiås 🔁
↦ L. Markmanrud
78′
Q. Jansen 🔁
↦ M. Ofkir
78′
79′
🟨 Espen Bjornsen Garnas
80′
🔁 L. Ranger
↦ E. Edh
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 J. Storevik G
4 I. Smeulers D
15 J. Taaje D
21 P. Slørdahl D
13 L. Markmanrud D
8 W. Kurtović M
7 M. Ofkir F
23 K. Boya M
5 A. Nilsson M
14 A. Tveter F
20 F. Nyenetue F
Bench (9)
24 H. Singh
11 Y. Chaib
19 A. Ordagić
9 S. Gussiås
3 Q. Jansen
26 F. Loftesnes-Bjune
41 B. Andersen
25 V. Egeli
12 H. Keto

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
77 F. Holst M
8 I. Mathew M
25 E. Edh M
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
9 A. Adams F
Bench (9)
11 T. Svendsen
3 C. Rösler
6 K. Kairinen
21 H. Friðjónsson
2 L. Ranger
15 E. Taylor
1 K. Skjærstein
14 M. Knudsen
26 D. Murugesapillai

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higraff · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.