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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Tromso
U S U S U
2–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,5
This season — Eliteserien · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 52%
25%
78%
Points per game
1,3
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
38%
44%
Both score Ø 60%
75%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,1
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 10. · Lillestrom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 9 7 2 0 +14 23
2 Viking 11 6 3 2 +10 21
3 Molde 9 6 1 2 +8 19
4 Stromsgodset 10 5 2 3 +1 17
5 Aalesund 9 4 2 3 -1 14
6 Bodo/Glimt 8 3 4 1 +6 13
7 Odd 10 4 0 6 -6 12
8 Rosenborg 8 2 5 1 +1 11
9 Sarpsborg 08 8 3 1 4 +1 10
10 Tromso 8 2 4 2 -3 10
11 Valerenga 9 3 1 5 -5 10
12 Ham-Kam 9 1 6 2 +1 9
13 Sandefjord 8 3 0 5 -4 9
14 Haugesund 9 2 1 6 -6 7
15 Jerv 8 2 1 5 -8 7
16 Kristiansund 7 0 1 6 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.