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Ligue 1
Referee: Amaury Delerue
Dijon
T S U U S
1–3
Full-time
Paris SG
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 44%
23%
64%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
55%
32%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

27% Possession 73%
7 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 14. · Paris SG 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 23 16 4 3 +46 52
2 Nice 23 14 7 2 +20 49
3 Paris SG 22 14 4 4 +26 46
4 Lyon 21 12 1 8 +15 37
5 St Etienne 22 8 9 5 +6 33
6 Marseille 23 9 6 8 +1 33
7 Bordeaux 22 8 8 6 -3 32
8 Guingamp 22 8 7 7 +2 31
9 Rennes 22 8 6 8 -4 30
10 Toulouse 22 7 5 10 -4 26
11 Lille 22 7 5 10 -6 26
12 Nantes 22 7 5 10 -14 26
13 Metz 22 7 5 10 -16 26
14 Dijon 22 5 9 8 -2 24
15 Nancy 21 6 6 9 -9 24
16 Montpellier 22 5 8 9 -9 23
17 Angers 22 6 5 11 -9 23
18 Bastia 22 5 7 10 -7 22
19 Caen 21 6 4 11 -12 22
20 Lorient 22 5 3 14 -21 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Sep -16 Paris SG – Dijon 3–0

Match report

Dijon Paris SG
29′
⚽ Lucas Moura 0–1
1–1 Júlio Tavares ⚽
P. Lees Melou
31′
32′
🟨 Thiago Motta
Half-time 1–1
Vincent Ruefli 🟨
53′
72′
🔁 Goncalo Guedes
↦ B. Matuidi
72′
🔁 H. Ben Arfa
↦ Lucas Moura
J. Bela 🔁
↦ M. Martin
76′
81′
⚽ Thiago Silva 1–2
84′
⚽ E. Cavani 1–3
J. Marié 🔁
↦ F. Balmont
85′
85′
🔁 C. Nkunku
↦ E. Cavani
87′
🟨 Serge Aurier
D. Bahamboula 🔁
↦ P. Lees Melou
87′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Dijon

4-3-3
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Varrault
23 V. Rüfli D
4 J. Lotiès D
26 F. Chafik D
15 F. Balmont M
13 M. Martin M
17 M. Abeid M
8 P. Lees Melou M
11 Júlio Tavares F
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
10 J. Bela
14 J. Marié
24 D. Bahamboula
1 B. Leroy
2 Á. Lang
5 O. Haddadi
20 R. Amalfitano

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
2 Thiago Silva D
20 L. Kurzawa D
19 S. Aurier D
5 Marquinhos D
14 B. Matuidi M
8 T. Motta M
7 Lucas Moura M
23 J. Draxler M
25 A. Rabiot M
9 E. Cavani F
Bench (7)
15 Goncalo Guedes
21 H. Ben Arfa
24 C. Nkunku
3 P. Kimpembe
18 G. Lo Celso
17 Maxwell
40 R. Descamps

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Amaury Delerue · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.