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Ligue 1

Referee: Amaury Delerue

Guingamp

S U S U T

3–3

Full-time

Marseille

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 46%

33%

58%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

53%

58%

Both score Ø 52%

47%

56%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,1

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

46% Possession 54%

22 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 11

2 Offside 6

20 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Guingamp 11. · Marseille 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	36	29	5	2	+81	92
2	Lyon	36	22	9	5	+44	75
3	Monaco	36	22	8	6	+36	74
4	Marseille	36	21	10	5	+32	73
5	Rennes	36	15	9	12	+4	54
6	St Etienne	36	14	10	12	-7	52
7	Nice	36	14	9	13	-1	51
8	Montpellier	36	11	16	9	+3	49
9	Bordeaux	36	14	7	15	-1	49
10	Nantes	36	12	10	14	-8	46
11	Guingamp	36	12	10	14	-10	46
12	Dijon	36	12	9	15	-18	45
13	Amiens	36	11	9	16	-6	42
14	Angers	36	9	14	13	-7	41
15	Caen	36	10	7	19	-22	37
16	Lille	36	9	8	19	-22	35
17	Strasbourg	36	8	11	17	-23	35
18	Toulouse	36	8	10	18	-15	34
19	Troyes	36	9	5	22	-24	32
20	Metz	36	6	8	22	-36	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	17	1	0	+57	52
2	Monaco	18	14	3	1	+29	45
3	Marseille	18	11	5	2	+24	38
4	Lyon	18	11	5	2	+19	38
5	Dijon	18	10	3	5	+6	33
6	Guingamp	18	8	6	4	+6	30
7	Nice	18	9	3	6	+3	30
8	Bordeaux	18	8	4	6	+2	28
9	St Etienne	18	7	7	4	+0	28
10	Rennes	18	8	3	7	-1	27
11	Amiens	18	7	5	6	+5	26
12	Caen	18	7	4	7	-2	25
13	Nantes	18	7	4	7	-3	25
14	Strasbourg	18	6	6	6	-1	24
15	Troyes	18	7	3	8	-2	24
16	Toulouse	18	6	5	7	+1	23
17	Montpellier	18	5	8	5	+1	23
18	Angers	18	5	7	6	-3	22
19	Lille	18	5	6	7	-4	21
20	Metz	18	3	4	11	-17	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	12	4	2	+24	40
2	Lyon	18	11	4	3	+25	37
3	Marseille	18	10	5	3	+8	35
4	Monaco	18	8	5	5	+7	29
5	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+5	27
6	Montpellier	18	6	8	4	+2	26
7	St Etienne	18	7	3	8	-7	24
8	Bordeaux	18	6	3	9	-3	21
9	Nice	18	5	6	7	-4	21
10	Nantes	18	5	6	7	-5	21
11	Angers	18	4	7	7	-4	19
12	Amiens	18	4	4	10	-11	16
13	Guingamp	18	4	4	10	-16	16
14	Lille	18	4	2	12	-18	14
15	Metz	18	3	4	11	-19	13
16	Caen	18	3	3	12	-20	12
17	Dijon	18	2	6	10	-24	12
18	Toulouse	18	2	5	11	-16	11
19	Strasbourg	18	2	5	11	-22	11
20	Troyes	18	2	2	14	-22	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.