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Ligue 1

Referee: Sebastien Moreira

Paris SG

S S U S S

2–2

Full-time

Guingamp

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

3,0

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 60%

85%

35%

Points per game

2,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

74%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

3,7

2,6

Scored

3,1

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+2,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

15 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 7

6 Offside 6

11 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Guingamp 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	34	29	3	2	+81	90
2	Lyon	35	21	9	5	+41	72
3	Monaco	35	21	8	6	+35	71
4	Marseille	35	20	10	5	+31	70
5	St Etienne	35	14	10	11	-5	52
6	Rennes	35	14	9	12	+3	51
7	Nice	35	14	9	12	+0	51
8	Montpellier	35	10	16	9	+1	46
9	Bordeaux	35	13	7	15	-3	46
10	Nantes	35	12	10	13	-6	46
11	Guingamp	34	12	9	13	-8	45
12	Dijon	35	11	9	15	-20	42
13	Amiens	35	11	8	16	-6	41
14	Angers	35	8	14	13	-8	38
15	Caen	35	10	7	18	-21	37
16	Strasbourg	35	8	11	16	-22	35
17	Toulouse	35	8	10	17	-14	34
18	Troyes	35	9	5	21	-21	32
19	Lille	35	8	8	19	-23	32
20	Metz	35	6	8	21	-35	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	17	0	0	+57	51
2	Monaco	18	14	3	1	+29	45
3	Marseille	17	10	5	2	+23	35
4	Lyon	17	10	5	2	+16	35
5	Guingamp	18	8	6	4	+6	30
6	Dijon	17	9	3	5	+4	30
7	Nice	18	9	3	6	+3	30
8	St Etienne	17	7	7	3	+2	28
9	Bordeaux	18	8	4	6	+2	28
10	Amiens	17	7	4	6	+5	25
11	Caen	17	7	4	6	-1	25
12	Nantes	17	7	4	6	-1	25
13	Strasbourg	18	6	6	6	-1	24
14	Rennes	17	7	3	7	-2	24
15	Troyes	18	7	3	8	-2	24
16	Toulouse	17	6	5	6	+2	23
17	Montpellier	18	5	8	5	+1	23
18	Angers	18	5	7	6	-3	22
19	Lille	18	5	6	7	-4	21
20	Metz	17	3	4	10	-16	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	12	3	2	+24	39
2	Lyon	18	11	4	3	+25	37
3	Marseille	18	10	5	3	+8	35
4	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+5	27
5	Monaco	17	7	5	5	+6	26
6	St Etienne	18	7	3	8	-7	24
7	Montpellier	17	5	8	4	+0	23
8	Nice	17	5	6	6	-3	21
9	Nantes	18	5	6	7	-5	21
10	Bordeaux	17	5	3	9	-5	18
11	Angers	17	3	7	7	-5	16
12	Amiens	18	4	4	10	-11	16
13	Guingamp	16	4	3	9	-14	15
14	Metz	18	3	4	11	-19	13
15	Caen	18	3	3	12	-20	12
16	Dijon	18	2	6	10	-24	12
17	Toulouse	18	2	5	11	-16	11
18	Lille	17	3	2	12	-19	11
19	Strasbourg	17	2	5	10	-21	11
20	Troyes	17	2	2	13	-19	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.