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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Bastien

Guingamp

U T U T U

2–1

Full-time

Marseille

U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,5

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

0,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

14 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 14. · Marseille 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Nice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Lille	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Caen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Angers	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Nancy	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Caen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.