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Ligue 1
Referee: N Rainville
Amiens
T T T S U
2–3
Full-time
Lille
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 15. · Lille 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 5 0 0 +13 15
2 Dijon 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Toulouse 4 3 0 1 -1 9
4 Lille 4 2 1 1 +4 7
5 Marseille 4 2 1 1 +3 7
6 Lyon 5 2 1 2 +2 7
7 Montpellier 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Rennes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Nice 5 2 1 2 -3 7
10 Nimes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
11 Caen 5 1 3 1 -1 6
12 Reims 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 St Etienne 5 1 3 1 -3 6
14 Monaco 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 Amiens 4 1 1 2 +0 4
16 Strasbourg 4 1 1 2 -1 4
17 Nantes 4 1 1 2 -3 4
18 Angers 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Bordeaux 4 1 0 3 -4 3
20 Guingamp 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Lille
G. Traoré 🔁
↦ A. Blin
24′
Half-time 0–1
47′
N. Pépé 0–1
49′
🟨 Jonathan Ikoné
Bakaye Dibassy 🟨
54′
56′
N. Pépé 0–2
R. Kurzawa 🔁
↦ G. Traoré
62′
Ganso 🔁
↦ F. Otero
71′
76′
N. Pépé 0–3
J. Ikoné
1–3 R. Kurzawa
Ganso
79′
80′
🔁 B. Soumaré
↦ N. Pépé
84′
🔁 Thiago Maia
↦ Thiago Mendes
85′
🟨 José Fonte
91′
🔁 L. Rémy
↦ Rui Fonte
2–3 S. Ghoddos
93′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Amiens

4-3-3
1 R. Gurtner G
24 M. Bodmer D
3 K. Adénon D
2 P. Gouano D
4 E. Krafth D
12 B. Dibassy D
5 E. Gnahoré M
17 A. Blin M
7 S. Ghoddos F
15 M. Konaté F
11 F. Otero F
Bench (7)
14 G. Traoré
21 R. Kurzawa
8 Ganso
19 O. El Hajjam
25 J. Lefort
13 Q. Cornette
16 M. Dreyer

Coach: C. Pélissier

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
5 A. Soumaoro D
17 M. Çelik D
23 Thiago Mendes M
8 Xeka M
25 F. Ballo D
12 J. Ikoné M
10 Rui Fonte F
19 N. Pépé M
14 J. Bamba M
Bench (7)
24 B. Soumaré
20 Thiago Maia
9 L. Rémy
11 Luiz Araujo
22 K. Dabila
1 A. Jakubech
15 Edgar Ié

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.