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Ligue 1
Referee: K Abed
Amiens
U U S T T
1–2
Full-time
Montpellier
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 16. · Montpellier 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Reims 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Lille 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Lyon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Nice 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Guingamp 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Caen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Toulouse 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Montpellier
Guessouma Fofana 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
52′
F. Mollet 0–1
D. Congré
64′
🟨 Ruben Aguilar
66′
🟨 Andy Delort
R. Kurzawa 🔁
↦ Q. Cornette
71′
71′
E. Skhiri 0–2
78′
🔁 S. Sambia
↦ F. Mollet
79′
🟨 Paul Lasne
1–2 M. Konaté
82′
M. Bodmer 🔁
↦ G. Fofana
83′
83′
🔁 D. Le Tallec
↦ E. Skhiri
E. Krafth 🔁
↦ O. El Hajjam
88′
91′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ A. Delort
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
3 K. Adénon D
2 P. Gouano D
19 O. El Hajjam D
12 B. Dibassy D
8 G. Fofana M
5 E. Gnahoré M
10 S. Mendoza M
15 M. Konaté F
13 Q. Cornette F
11 F. Otero F
Bench (7)
21 R. Kurzawa
24 M. Bodmer
4 E. Krafth
16 M. Dreyer
20 C. Timite
25 J. Lefort
14 G. Traoré

Coach: C. Pélissier

Montpellier

3-4-1-2
40 B. Lecomte G
3 D. Congré D
4 Hilton D
5 Pedro Mendes D
8 A. Oyongo M
2 R. Aguilar M
7 P. Lasne M
25 F. Mollet M
13 E. Skhiri M
11 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde F
Bench (7)
6 S. Sambia
14 D. Le Tallec
19 S. Camara
16 D. Bertaud
20 K. Dolly
26 M. Poaty
32 P. Škuletić

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.