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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Toulouse

S T S S S

1–1

Full-time

Monaco

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 3. · Monaco 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Dijon	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Toulouse	4	3	0	1	-1	9
4	Lille	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Lyon	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Montpellier	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Rennes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Nice	5	2	1	2	-3	7
10	Nimes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Caen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
12	Reims	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	St Etienne	5	1	3	1	-3	6
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Amiens	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Angers	4	1	0	3	-3	3
19	Bordeaux	4	1	0	3	-4	3
20	Guingamp	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Lille	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Reims	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Nice	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Caen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Caen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Marseille	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Nantes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Reims	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-4	2
14	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Lille	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Amiens	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Bordeaux	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.