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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Paris SG

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Lille

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

3,7

1,8

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+3,3

+1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 87%

100%

73%

Points per game

3,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

91%

64%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

4,1

2,5

Scored

3,5

1,8

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

19 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Lille 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	11	0	0	+33	33
2	Lille	11	8	1	2	+12	25
3	Montpellier	11	6	4	1	+10	22
4	Lyon	11	6	2	3	+5	20
5	Marseille	11	6	1	4	+4	19
6	St Etienne	11	4	5	2	-1	17
7	Strasbourg	11	4	4	3	+4	16
8	Bordeaux	11	4	2	5	-1	14
9	Reims	11	3	5	3	-3	14
10	Nice	11	4	2	5	-6	14
11	Toulouse	11	3	4	4	-9	13
12	Angers	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
14	Rennes	11	3	3	5	-4	12
15	Caen	11	2	5	4	-4	11
16	Nimes	11	2	5	4	-5	11
17	Dijon	11	3	2	6	-5	11
18	Amiens	11	3	1	7	-8	10
19	Monaco	11	1	4	6	-5	7
20	Guingamp	11	1	4	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+22	18
2	Lille	6	6	0	0	+12	18
3	Marseille	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Lyon	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	St Etienne	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Strasbourg	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Amiens	6	3	0	3	+2	9
10	Toulouse	6	2	2	2	-2	8
11	Caen	5	1	4	0	+1	7
12	Rennes	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Nimes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Reims	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Nantes	5	1	2	2	+1	5
16	Angers	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Monaco	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Dijon	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Nice	5	1	0	4	-8	3
20	Guingamp	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Montpellier	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Nice	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Dijon	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Reims	6	2	2	2	-3	8
6	Angers	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Lille	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Lyon	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Nantes	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Strasbourg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Marseille	5	2	0	3	-5	6
12	St Etienne	6	1	3	2	-5	6
13	Rennes	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Nimes	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-7	5
16	Guingamp	6	1	2	3	-7	5
17	Monaco	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Bordeaux	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Caen	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Amiens	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.