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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Dijon
T U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Lille
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,2
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
22%
44%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 14. · Lille 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 10 0 0 +31 30
2 Lille 9 6 1 2 +10 19
3 Lyon 10 5 2 3 +4 17
4 Marseille 9 5 1 3 +5 16
5 Montpellier 9 4 4 1 +5 16
6 St Etienne 9 4 3 2 -1 15
7 Bordeaux 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Toulouse 9 3 4 2 -2 13
9 Strasbourg 9 3 3 3 +3 12
10 Angers 9 3 2 4 -1 11
11 Rennes 9 3 2 4 -2 11
12 Nice 9 3 2 4 -6 11
13 Caen 9 2 4 3 -3 10
14 Dijon 9 3 1 5 -4 10
15 Nimes 10 2 4 4 -5 10
16 Reims 9 2 4 3 -5 10
17 Amiens 10 3 1 6 -7 10
18 Monaco 9 1 3 5 -4 6
19 Nantes 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Guingamp 9 1 2 6 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Lille
21′
N. Pépé 0–1
Enzo Loiodice 🟨
31′
43′
Luiz Araujo 0–2
M. Çelik
Half-time 0–2
N. Sliti 🔁
↦ W. Saïd
59′
Y. Gourcuff 🔁
↦ F. Balmont
59′
72′
🔁 J. Ikoné
↦ Luiz Araujo
J. Keita 🔁
↦ E. Loiodice
77′
78′
🔁 B. Soumaré
↦ Thiago Mendes
80′
🟨 Boubakary Soumare
81′
🟨 Mike Maignan
1–2 M. Abeid
81′
88′
🔁 K. Dabila
↦ L. Rémy
Oussama Haddadi 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Dijon

4-3-3
1 R. Rúnarsson G
6 L. Ciman D
5 O. Haddadi D
24 W. Lautoa D
19 V. Rosier D
15 F. Balmont M
20 R. Amalfitano M
8 M. Abeid M
12 E. Loiodice M
29 B. Jeannot F
9 W. Saïd F
Bench (7)
10 N. Sliti
28 Y. Gourcuff
23 J. Keita
14 J. Marié
16 B. Allain
18 C. Yamberé
26 F. Chafik

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
5 A. Soumaoro D
17 M. Çelik D
23 Thiago Mendes M
20 Thiago Maia M
25 F. Ballo D
9 L. Rémy F
19 N. Pépé M
11 Luiz Araujo M
14 J. Bamba M
Bench (7)
12 J. Ikoné
24 B. Soumaré
22 K. Dabila
1 A. Jakubech
3 Y. Koné
7 Rafael Leão
15 Edgar Ié

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.