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Ligue 1
Referee: Florent Batta
Angers
U S T U S
1–2
Full-time
Paris SG
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 53%
29%
77%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
43%
77%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,4
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
27 Free kicks against 18
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Angers 12. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 35 27 4 4 +67 85
2 Lille 35 20 9 6 +31 69
3 Lyon 35 18 9 8 +15 63
4 St Etienne 36 18 8 10 +15 62
5 Montpellier 36 15 13 8 +12 58
6 Marseille 35 16 7 12 +7 55
7 Nice 35 14 10 11 -4 52
8 Nimes 35 14 7 14 -1 49
9 Reims 35 11 16 8 -5 49
10 Strasbourg 35 10 16 9 +12 46
11 Nantes 35 13 7 15 +1 46
12 Angers 35 10 15 10 +1 45
13 Rennes 35 11 12 12 -1 45
14 Bordeaux 35 9 11 15 -7 38
15 Toulouse 35 8 13 14 -18 37
16 Amiens 35 8 10 17 -20 34
17 Monaco 35 7 12 16 -18 33
18 Caen 35 6 12 17 -21 30
19 Dijon 35 7 7 21 -27 28
20 Guingamp 35 5 10 20 -39 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Paris SG
20′
Neymar 0–1
Dani Alves
Half-time 0–2
58′
Á. Di María 0–2
Neymar
F. El Melali 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
61′
70′
🔁 L. Kurzawa
↦ Dani Alves
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ V. Pajot
72′
77′
🔁 J. Draxler
↦ Á. Di María
W. Kanga 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
82′
85′
🟥 Marquinhos
1–2 F. Tait
88′
93′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ Neymar
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
26 T. Pellenard D
6 V. Pajot M
20 F. Tait M
10 A. Fulgini M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde F
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
28 F. El Melali
15 P. Capelle
11 W. Kanga
2 R. Aït Nouri
23 I. Cissé
27 E. Diaw
1 Z. Boucher

Coach: S. Moulin

Paris SG

4-2-2-2
1 G. Buffon G
13 Dani Alves M
5 Marquinhos D
14 Juan Bernat D
31 C. Dagba D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
8 L. Paredes M
9 E. Cavani F
10 Neymar F
36 L. Mbe Soh
Bench (7)
20 L. Kurzawa
23 J. Draxler
17 E. Choupo-Moting
16 A. Areola
24 C. Nkunku
27 M. Diaby
33 A. Zagre

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Florent Batta · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
34,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.