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Ligue 1
Referee: N Rainville
Angers
T U U U U
3–3
Full-time
Rennes
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 30/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
27%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
43%
48%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 12. · Rennes 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 29 26 2 1 +71 80
2 Lille 30 18 6 6 +22 60
3 Lyon 31 16 8 7 +14 56
4 St Etienne 30 14 7 9 +8 49
5 Marseille 31 14 6 11 +5 48
6 Reims 30 11 13 6 +0 46
7 Montpellier 30 11 12 7 +8 45
8 Nice 30 12 8 10 -7 44
9 Strasbourg 30 10 12 8 +14 42
10 Rennes 29 11 8 10 +2 41
11 Bordeaux 31 9 11 11 -1 38
12 Angers 30 8 13 9 +0 37
13 Nimes 29 10 7 12 -3 37
14 Toulouse 30 7 11 12 -16 32
15 Nantes 29 8 7 14 -5 31
16 Monaco 30 7 9 14 -15 30
17 Amiens 30 8 6 16 -19 30
18 Dijon 31 6 6 19 -24 24
19 Caen 30 4 11 15 -20 23
20 Guingamp 30 5 7 18 -34 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Rennes
35′
H. Ben Arfa 0–1
M. Niang
Half-time 1–1
1–1 J. Reine-Adélaïde
P. Capelle
47′
50′
🟨 Benjamin André
2–1 S. Bahoken
J. Reine-Adélaïde
52′
55′
🔁 H. Traoré
↦ M. Zeffane
58′
🟨 M'Baye Niang
59′
M. Niang 2–2
B. Bourigeaud
Flavien Tait 🟨
62′
64′
🟨 Ismaila Sarr
69′
🟨 Hamari Traore
Thomas Mangani 🟨
72′
Cristian López 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
73′
75′
H. Ben Arfa 2–3
F. El Melali 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
78′
78′
🔁 R. Del Castillo
↦ B. André
R. Aït Nouri 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
88′
89′
🔁 E. Camavinga
↦ M. Niang
Ludovic Butelle 🟨
90′
3–3 J. Reine-Adélaïde
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
25 A. Bamba D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
20 F. Tait M
10 A. Fulgini M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
9 Cristian López
28 F. El Melali
2 R. Aït Nouri
1 Z. Boucher
33 M. Soula
4 M. Pavlović
27 E. Diaw

Coach: S. Moulin

Rennes

4-4-2
40 T. Koubek G
4 Mexer D
2 M. Zeffane D
5 S. Doumbia D
26 J. Gelin D
20 G. Nyamsi D
18 H. Ben Arfa F
21 B. André M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
11 M. Niang F
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
27 H. Traoré
22 R. Del Castillo
33 E. Camavinga
23 A. Hunou
35 N. Janvier
16 A. Diallo
19 A. Lauriente

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.