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Ligue 1
Referee: Ruddy Buquet
Nice
T S U U T
2–0
Full-time
Monaco
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 30%
38%
22%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
22%
43%
Both score Ø 41%
27%
54%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 8. · Monaco 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 37 29 4 4 +72 91
2 Lille 37 22 9 6 +37 75
3 Lyon 37 20 9 8 +22 69
4 St Etienne 37 19 8 10 +18 65
5 Montpellier 37 15 14 8 +12 59
6 Marseille 37 17 7 13 +7 58
7 Nimes 37 15 8 14 +0 53
8 Nice 37 14 11 12 -7 53
9 Reims 37 12 16 9 -5 52
10 Rennes 37 12 13 12 +1 49
11 Nantes 37 13 9 15 +1 48
12 Strasbourg 37 10 16 11 +9 46
13 Angers 37 10 15 12 -5 45
14 Bordeaux 37 9 11 17 -9 38
15 Toulouse 37 8 14 15 -21 38
16 Monaco 37 8 12 17 -17 36
17 Amiens 37 8 11 18 -22 35
18 Caen 37 7 12 18 -24 33
19 Dijon 37 8 7 22 -30 31
20 Guingamp 37 5 12 20 -39 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Monaco
12′
🟨 Benjamin Henrichs
21′
🟨 Aleksandr Golovin
0–1 B. Badiashile
own goal
36′
Adrien Tameze 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
66′
🟨 Kamil Glik
1–1 M. Le Bihan
67′
J. Makengo 🔁
↦ Danilo Barbosa
70′
72′
🔁 Rony Lopes
↦ Gelson Martins
73′
🔁 J. Aholou
↦ Fàbregas
R. Walter 🔁
↦ A. Tameze
82′
Jean-Victor Makengo 🟨
84′
C. Jallet 🔁
↦ M. Le Bihan
86′
87′
🔁 Carlos
↦ R. Falcao
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
31 Dante D
29 C. Hérelle D
23 M. Sarr D
20 Y. Atal D
5 A. Tameze M
21 Danilo Barbosa M
7 A. Saint-Maximin F
8 P. Lees Melou M
10 M. Le Bihan F
14 I. Ganago F
Bench (7)
27 J. Makengo
6 R. Walter
24 C. Jallet
18 I. Sacko
16 Y. Clementia
28 O. Boscagli
11 B. Srarfi

Coach: P. Vieira

Monaco

4-2-3-1
16 D. Benaglio G
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé M
39 B. Henrichs D
32 B. Badiashile D
44 Fàbregas M
15 Adrien Silva M
17 A. Golovin M
2 F. Ballo D
9 R. Falcao F
29 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
7 Rony Lopes
4 J. Aholou
11 Carlos
30 S. Sy
20 N. Chadli
14 G. N'Koudou
27 Naldo

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ruddy Buquet · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.