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Ligue 1
Referee: Clement Turpin
Monaco
U T U T T
2–0
Full-time
Amiens
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 21%
19%
22%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 49%
56%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 17. · Amiens 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 36 28 4 4 +68 88
2 Lille 36 21 9 6 +32 72
3 Lyon 36 19 9 8 +18 66
4 St Etienne 36 18 8 10 +15 62
5 Montpellier 36 15 13 8 +12 58
6 Marseille 36 16 7 13 +4 55
7 Nice 36 14 11 11 -4 53
8 Nimes 36 15 7 14 +0 52
9 Reims 36 11 16 9 -6 49
10 Nantes 36 13 8 15 +1 47
11 Strasbourg 36 10 16 10 +11 46
12 Rennes 36 11 13 12 -1 46
13 Angers 36 10 15 11 +0 45
14 Bordeaux 36 9 11 16 -8 38
15 Toulouse 36 8 14 14 -18 38
16 Amiens 36 8 11 17 -20 35
17 Monaco 36 7 12 17 -19 33
18 Caen 36 7 12 17 -20 33
19 Dijon 36 8 7 21 -26 31
20 Guingamp 36 5 11 20 -39 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Amiens
Carlos Vinícius 🟨
22′
22′
🟨 Khaled Adenon
1–0 R. Falcao
A. Golovin
26′
Jemerson 🟨
44′
45′
🟨 Eddy Gnahoré
Half-time 1–0
Radamel Falcao 🟨
49′
67′
🔁 E. Gnahoré
↦ A. Blin
68′
🔁 C. Timite
↦ S. Ghoddos
Fàbregas 🔁
↦ Carlos
73′
Rony Lopes 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
79′
81′
🔁 M. Bodmer
↦ M. Konaté
2–0 A. Golovin
D. Sidibé
82′
Adrien Silva 🟨
89′
Cesc Fàbregas 🟨
90′
Naldo 🔁
↦ R. Falcao
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
16 D. Benaglio G
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé M
39 B. Henrichs D
5 Jemerson D
15 Adrien Silva M
17 A. Golovin M
2 F. Ballo D
11 Carlos
9 R. Falcao F
29 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
44 Fàbregas
7 Rony Lopes
27 Naldo
4 J. Aholou
14 G. N'Koudou
20 N. Chadli
30 S. Sy

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Amiens

4-4-2
1 R. Gurtner G
26 E. Pieters D
3 K. Adénon D
4 E. Krafth D
12 B. Dibassy D
6 T. Monconduit M
17 A. Blin M
7 S. Ghoddos M
15 M. Konaté F
9 S. Guirassy F
11 F. Otero M
Bench (7)
5 E. Gnahoré
20 C. Timite
24 M. Bodmer
25 J. Lefort
19 O. El Hajjam
16 M. Dreyer
34 B. Zungu

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Clement Turpin · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.