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Ligue 1
Referee: Antony Gautier
St Etienne
S S S S T
3–0
Full-time
Nice
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
50%
19%
Both score Ø 38%
47%
28%
Average goals
2,6
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
9 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 4. · Nice 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 36 28 4 4 +68 88
2 Lille 36 21 9 6 +32 72
3 Lyon 36 19 9 8 +18 66
4 St Etienne 36 18 8 10 +15 62
5 Montpellier 36 15 13 8 +12 58
6 Marseille 36 16 7 13 +4 55
7 Nice 36 14 11 11 -4 53
8 Nimes 36 15 7 14 +0 52
9 Reims 36 11 16 9 -6 49
10 Nantes 36 13 8 15 +1 47
11 Strasbourg 36 10 16 10 +11 46
12 Rennes 36 11 13 12 -1 46
13 Angers 36 10 15 11 +0 45
14 Bordeaux 36 9 11 16 -8 38
15 Toulouse 36 8 14 14 -18 38
16 Amiens 36 8 11 17 -20 35
17 Monaco 36 7 12 17 -19 33
18 Caen 36 7 12 17 -20 33
19 Dijon 36 8 7 21 -26 31
20 Guingamp 36 5 11 20 -39 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Nice
W. Fofana 🔁
↦ P. Polomat
20′
1–0 R. Berič
Y. Salibur
25′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🟨 Racine Coly
2–0 R. Berič
R. Hamouma
65′
V. Vada 🔁
↦ Y. Salibur
66′
66′
🔁 B. Srarfi
↦ I. Ganago
73′
🟨 Pierre Lees Melou
74′
🔁 J. Makengo
↦ A. Tameze
79′
🔁 M. Le Bihan
↦ A. Pelmard
3–0 R. Hamouma
A. Nordin
81′
L. Ghezali 🔁
↦ R. Hamouma
83′
86′
🟨 Mickaël Le Bihan
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
16 S. Ruffier G
24 L. Perrin D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
3 P. Polomat D
4 W. Saliba D
6 Y. M'Vila M
21 R. Hamouma M
8 Y. Aït Bennasser M
18 A. Nordin M
19 Y. Salibur M
27 R. Berič F
Bench (7)
32 W. Fofana
23 V. Vada
31 L. Ghezali
30 J. Moulin
34 C. Abi
13 M. Gueye
33 B. Benkhedim

Coach: J. Gasset

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
28 O. Boscagli D
12 R. Coly D
23 M. Sarr D
20 Y. Atal F
33 A. Pelmard D
5 A. Tameze M
21 Danilo Barbosa M
7 A. Saint-Maximin F
8 P. Lees Melou M
14 I. Ganago F
Bench (7)
11 B. Srarfi
27 J. Makengo
10 M. Le Bihan
24 C. Jallet
18 I. Sacko
16 Y. Clementia
6 R. Walter

Coach: P. Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antony Gautier · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.