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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Willem II
U S T T U
0–0
Full-time
Heracles
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 20/18 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
65%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
12 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 14. · Heracles 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 3 2 +36 48
2 PSV Eindhoven 20 14 5 1 +29 47
3 Feyenoord 20 11 3 6 +14 36
4 Nijmegen 20 10 4 6 +7 34
5 Vitesse 20 9 5 6 +19 32
6 Heracles 18 9 4 5 +4 31
7 Zwolle 18 8 5 5 +7 29
8 AZ Alkmaar 20 8 4 8 +0 28
9 Groningen 19 7 7 5 -3 28
10 Heerenveen 20 7 5 8 -7 26
11 Utrecht 17 6 5 6 +2 23
12 Den Haag 20 5 8 7 -3 23
13 Roda 20 5 7 8 -15 22
14 Willem II 20 4 7 9 -4 19
15 Excelsior 20 4 5 11 -16 17
16 Twente 20 4 4 12 -23 16
17 Cambuur 20 2 7 11 -26 13
18 De Graafschap 20 3 2 15 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Oct -15 Heracles – Willem II 2–1

Match report

Willem II Heracles
Frank van der Struijk 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
Funso Ojo 🟨
56′
N. van der Velden 🔁
↦ E. Falkenburg
60′
62′
🟨 Brahim Darri
71′
🔁 P. van Ooijen
↦ T. Bruns
76′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ W. Weghorst
L. de Sa 🔁
↦ G. Hupperts
79′
A. Kawaya 🔁
↦ L. Andersen
82′
84′
🔁 R. Gosens
↦ B. Darri
86′
🟨 Mark Jan Fledderus
Andy Kawaya 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Willem II

1 K. Lamprou G
20 F. van der Struijk
4 J. Peters D
35 R. Achenteh M
15 D. Wuytens D
10 E. Falkenburg F
8 R. Haemhouts M
6 F. Ojo M
18 L. Andersen M
22 B. Ogbeche F
14 G. Hupperts F
Bench (7)
23 N. van der Velden
19 L. de Sa
38 A. Kawaya
3 F. Heerkens
5 D. Koppers
17 R. Braber
21 D. Meul

Heracles

1 B. Castro G
18 R. Zomer D
12 W. Droste D
3 M. te Wierik D
23 M. Fledderus D
8 I. Bel Hassani M
10 T. Bruns M
14 J. Pelupessy M
7 B. Darri F
19 W. Weghorst F
15 J. Navrátil F
Bench (7)
20 P. van Ooijen
9 P. Gladon
21 R. Gosens
4 G. Bosz
22 Gonzalo García
24 M. Heerkes
25 R. Fij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.