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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Den Haag
S U U T S
1–1
Full-time
Willem II
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
53%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
73%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
13 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 13. · Willem II 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 15 12 2 1 +34 38
2 Feyenoord 15 11 2 2 +21 35
3 PSV Eindhoven 15 10 4 1 +22 34
4 Heracles 14 8 2 4 +7 26
5 Groningen 15 7 4 4 +0 25
6 Vitesse 15 7 3 5 +14 24
7 Nijmegen 15 7 3 5 +4 24
8 Zwolle 14 6 4 4 +4 22
9 Heerenveen 16 5 5 6 -3 20
10 AZ Alkmaar 15 5 3 7 -4 18
11 Excelsior 16 4 5 7 -8 17
12 Utrecht 13 4 4 5 -1 16
13 Den Haag 15 3 7 5 -5 16
14 Roda 15 3 6 6 -15 15
15 Willem II 15 3 5 7 -2 14
16 Twente 15 2 4 9 -20 10
17 Cambuur 15 0 7 8 -26 7
18 De Graafschap 15 1 2 12 -22 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Willem II
9′
🟨 Jordens Peters
Tom Beugelsdijk 🟨
23′
1–0 K. Jansen
E. Duplan
33′
Half-time 1–0
Dion Malone 🟥
54′
55′
N. van der Velden 1–1
G. Zuiverloon 🔁
↦ G. Korte
57′
60′
🟨 Stijn Wuytens
68′
🔁 A. Nemec
↦ R. Zivkovic
78′
🟨 Guus Joppen
80′
🟨 Nick Van der Velden
81′
🔁 D. Koppers
↦ G. Joppen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Den Haag

1 M. Hansen G
4 T. Derijck D
8 A. Meijers D
3 V. Wormgoor D
2 D. Malone M
25 T. Beugelsdijk D
7 K. Jansen M
17 D. Bakker M
21 E. Duplan F
20 R. Schaken F
14 G. Korte F
Bench (7)
51 G. Zuiverloon
5 W. Kanon
6 T. Kristensen
11 L. Marengo
12 K. Gorré
22 R. Zwinkels
23 R. Alberg

Willem II

1 K. Lamprou G
20 F. van der Struijk
4 J. Peters D
24 G. Joppen D
15 D. Wuytens D
23 N. van der Velden
10 E. Falkenburg F
29 S. Wuytens D
6 F. Ojo M
18 L. Andersen M
9 R. Zivkovic F
Bench (7)
37 A. Nemec
5 D. Koppers
2 R. Ligeon
17 R. Braber
19 L. de Sa
21 D. Meul
26 J. Altheer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.