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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Willem II

T U S S U

3–2

Full-time

Roda

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Roda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

0,3

Conceded

1,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-2,3

This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 19%

19%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

63%

44%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%

13 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 15. · Roda 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	2	2	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	5	1	+23	38
3	Feyenoord	16	11	3	2	+21	36
4	Vitesse	17	8	4	5	+18	28
5	Heracles	15	8	3	4	+7	27
6	Groningen	16	7	5	4	+0	26
7	Zwolle	16	7	4	5	+4	25
8	Nijmegen	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	Utrecht	15	5	5	5	+0	20
10	Heerenveen	16	5	5	6	-3	20
11	AZ Alkmaar	17	5	4	8	-5	19
12	Den Haag	16	3	8	5	-5	17
13	Excelsior	17	4	5	8	-11	17
14	Roda	16	3	7	6	-15	16
15	Willem II	16	3	6	7	-2	15
16	Cambuur	17	2	7	8	-21	13
17	Twente	17	3	4	10	-23	13
18	De Graafschap	16	1	2	13	-23	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	2	0	+11	20
3	Groningen	8	6	2	0	+10	20
4	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+21	18
5	Vitesse	9	6	0	3	+14	18
6	Nijmegen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
7	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+7	17
8	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
9	Heerenveen	8	4	3	1	+5	15
10	Zwolle	8	4	2	2	+0	14
11	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-1	11
12	Roda	9	2	5	2	-3	11
13	Twente	8	3	1	4	-7	10
14	Willem II	8	2	3	3	+2	9
15	Den Haag	8	1	6	1	+0	9
16	Excelsior	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	Cambuur	9	1	4	4	-12	7
18	De Graafschap	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+12	18
3	Feyenoord	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Zwolle	8	3	2	3	+4	11
5	Vitesse	8	2	4	2	+4	10
6	Heracles	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	-5	9
8	AZ Alkmaar	8	2	2	4	-4	8
9	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-5	8
10	Nijmegen	8	2	1	5	-5	7
11	Willem II	8	1	3	4	-4	6
12	Cambuur	8	1	3	4	-9	6
13	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Utrecht	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Heerenveen	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Roda	7	1	2	4	-12	5
17	De Graafschap	8	1	1	6	-11	4
18	Twente	9	0	3	6	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.