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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Willem II

T T T T T

0–2

Full-time

Den Haag

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Den Haag

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 24%

17%

30%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

63%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 15. · Den Haag 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	31	23	6	2	+54	75
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	23	6	2	+48	75
3	Feyenoord	31	17	5	9	+20	56
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	15	5	11	+11	50
5	Vitesse	31	12	9	10	+21	45
6	Heracles	28	13	6	9	+0	45
7	Zwolle	29	13	5	11	+4	44
8	Nijmegen	30	12	7	11	-2	43
9	Groningen	30	11	8	11	-9	41
10	Utrecht	27	11	7	9	+7	40
11	Heerenveen	30	11	7	12	-12	40
12	Twente	31	11	6	14	-13	39
13	Den Haag	30	9	11	10	-2	38
14	Roda	31	7	10	14	-20	31
15	Willem II	30	5	10	15	-16	25
16	Excelsior	30	6	7	17	-26	25
17	De Graafschap	31	4	7	20	-26	19
18	Cambuur	30	3	8	19	-39	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	3	1	+33	39
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+19	36
3	Feyenoord	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	Nijmegen	15	10	2	3	+8	32
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	2	5	+11	29
6	Zwolle	14	9	2	3	+9	29
7	Groningen	15	8	3	4	+4	27
8	Twente	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+4	26
10	Vitesse	16	7	4	5	+14	25
11	Utrecht	13	7	4	2	+7	25
12	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	-2	22
13	Den Haag	15	4	7	4	-1	19
14	Willem II	15	3	6	6	-4	15
15	Roda	16	3	6	7	-9	15
16	Excelsior	15	4	3	8	-10	15
17	De Graafschap	16	3	5	8	-6	14
18	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	12	3	1	+29	39
2	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+21	36
3	Feyenoord	15	7	2	6	+2	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	3	6	+0	21
5	Vitesse	15	5	5	5	+7	20
6	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-1	19
7	Heracles	15	5	4	6	-4	19
8	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	-10	18
9	Roda	15	4	4	7	-11	16
10	Utrecht	14	4	3	7	+0	15
11	Zwolle	15	4	3	8	-5	15
12	Groningen	15	3	5	7	-13	14
13	Twente	16	3	4	9	-17	13
14	Nijmegen	15	2	5	8	-10	11
15	Willem II	15	2	4	9	-12	10
16	Excelsior	15	2	4	9	-16	10
17	Cambuur	15	1	4	10	-21	7
18	De Graafschap	15	1	2	12	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.