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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Vitesse
U T T U U
3–1
Full-time
Zwolle
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
21 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 9. · Zwolle 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 14 10 3 1 +24 33
2 Ajax 14 10 3 1 +21 33
3 PSV Eindhoven 15 8 6 1 +16 30
4 Heerenveen 14 7 4 3 +12 25
5 AZ Alkmaar 13 5 7 1 +10 22
6 Twente 14 5 5 4 +3 20
7 Heracles 15 4 6 5 -5 18
8 Utrecht 12 4 5 3 +1 17
9 Vitesse 14 4 5 5 +1 17
10 Sparta Rotterdam 14 4 5 5 +0 17
11 Excelsior 15 4 3 8 -8 15
12 Nijmegen 15 3 6 6 -13 15
13 Willem II 14 3 5 6 -8 14
14 Den Haag 14 4 2 8 -9 14
15 Groningen 13 3 4 6 -4 13
16 Zwolle 14 3 4 7 -16 13
17 Roda 15 1 9 5 -11 12
18 Go Ahead Eagles 15 3 2 10 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Zwolle
Milot Rashica 🟨
21′
31′
🟨 Dirk Marcellis
1–0 L. Baker
32′
2–0 Zhang Yuning
M. Rashica
41′
Yuning Zhang 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 N. Brock-Madsen
↦ K. Ehizibue
65′
🔁 H. Mastour
↦ M. Saymak
67′
B. Schenkeveld 2–1
D. Warmerdam
74′
🟨 Josef Kvida
Nathan 🔁
↦ A. Tighadouini
74′
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
89′
3–1 Nathan
M. van Bergen
92′
M. Miazga 🔁
↦ N. Foor
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 E. Room G
8 K. Ota D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
5 K. Leerdam D
25 N. Foor M
10 A. Tighadouini F
34 L. Baker M
18 M. Nakamba M
7 M. Rashica F
9 Zhang Yuning F
Bench (8)
11 Nathan
16 M. van Bergen
19 M. Miazga
14 A. Dauda
24 J. Houwen
30 A. Koryan
43 L. Faye
21 S. Yeini

Coach: H. Fraser

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
22 B. Schenkeveld D
21 D. Warmerdam D
17 J. Kvída D
14 W. Brama M
6 M. Saymak M
30 R. Thomas M
11 Q. Menig M
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (9)
44 N. Brock-Madsen
98 H. Mastour
40 M. Hauptmeijer
3 T. van de Pavert
5 C. Verdonk
8 W. Marinus
9 A. Achahbar
13 P. Sandler
16 K. Begois

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.