Eredivisie
Referee: Christian Mulder
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 3–0
63%
Possession
37%
15
Shots
5
6
Shots on target
3
3
Blocked shots
0
2
Goalkeeper saves
2
9
Corners
3
0
Offside
4
8
Free kicks against
11
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Match report
Vitesse
NAC Breda
1–0 T. Bruns
⚽
A. Büttner
2–0 B. Linssen
⚽
🟨
Rai Vloet
3–0 T. Matavž
⚽
M. Rashica
Half-time 3–0
🔁
K. Mets
↦ A. Verschueren
🔁
Paolo Fernandes
↦ G. Korte
⚽
T. Ambrose
3–1
Manu García
C. Colkett
🔁
↦ T. Bruns
🔁
T. Agyepong
↦ M. El Allouchi
4–1 M. Rashica
⚽
N. Foor
L. Castaignos
🔁
↦ T. Matavž
M. Miazga
🔁
↦ A. Kruiswijk
Full-time 4–1
Line-ups
Vitesse
4-3-3
22
R. Pasveer
G
R. Pasveer
G
6
A. Kruiswijk
D
28
A. Büttner
D
37
G. Kashia
D
2
F. Dabo
D
17
T. Serero
M
25
N. Foor
M
10
T. Bruns
M
7
M. Rashica
F
M. Rashica
F
9
T. Matavž
F
11
B. Linssen
F
B. Linssen
F
Bench (10)
8
C. Colkett
14
L. Castaignos
5
M. Miazga
1
E. Room
3
M. van der Werff
16
M. van Bergen
19
M. Mount
23
M. Ali
29
J. Lelieveld
43
L. Faye
Coach: H. Fraser
NAC Breda
4-3-3
1
A. Noppert
G
A. Noppert
G
3
M. Koch
D
M. Koch
D
22
Pablo Marí
D
69
Angeliño
D
Angeliño
D
35
J. Horsfield
D
10
R. Vloet
M
6
A. Verschueren
M
A. Verschueren
M
8
M. El Allouchi
M
19
Manu García
M
Manu García
M
7
G. Korte
F
9
T. Ambrose
F
T. Ambrose
F
Bench (8)
5
K. Mets
11
Paolo Fernandes
20
T. Agyepong
12
S. van der Maaten
14
O. Rommens
23
N. Bertrams
24
D. Klomp
45
R. Sprangers
Coach: S. Vreven
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Recent matches
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+2,5
BLS
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23. Apr
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0
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1–
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15. Apr
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Excelsior
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1
0
1–
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−2,5
BLS
T
8. Apr
ED
9 years ago
Vitesse
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4
2
1–
X–
2–
+2,5
BLS
S
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.