Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Groningen
Den Haag
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
23 | 20 | 1 | 2 | +37 | 61 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | +44 | 54 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | +21 | 47 |
| 4 |
Feyenoord
|
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +21 | 39 |
| 5 |
Zwolle
|
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +1 | 39 |
| 6 |
Utrecht
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | -1 | 34 |
| 7 |
Vitesse
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +12 | 33 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 |
VVV Venlo
|
23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | -5 | 30 |
| 10 |
Den Haag
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 |
Heracles
|
23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -16 | 27 |
| 12 |
Excelsior
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 |
Groningen
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 |
Willem II
|
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -14 | 20 |
| 15 |
NAC Breda
|
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -14 | 20 |
| 16 |
Roda
|
23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -24 | 17 |
| 17 |
Twente
|
23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -17 | 16 |
| 18 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -28 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Padt
G
D. Zeefuik
D
R. Doan
M
T. van de Looi
M
Coach: E. Faber
S. Becker
F
Coach: A. Groenendijk
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Feyenoord
Groningen
Vitesse
Groningen
Groningen
Heracles
Willem II
Groningen
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.