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Ligue 1

Referee: Francois Letexier

Strasbourg

T T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Troyes

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/23 matches

Win Ø 30%

29%

30%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

67%

48%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

39%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 6

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 14. · Troyes 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	25	21	2	2	+59	65
2	Monaco	25	16	5	4	+34	53
3	Marseille	25	15	7	3	+26	52
4	Lyon	24	14	6	4	+26	48
5	Montpellier	25	9	10	6	+3	37
6	Nantes	24	11	4	9	+0	37
7	Bordeaux	25	10	5	10	-2	35
8	Nice	25	10	4	11	-6	34
9	Guingamp	25	9	6	10	-7	33
10	Rennes	24	9	4	11	-5	31
11	Caen	25	9	4	12	-10	31
12	Dijon	24	9	4	11	-12	31
13	St Etienne	25	8	6	11	-14	30
14	Strasbourg	24	7	6	11	-13	27
15	Toulouse	25	7	5	13	-11	26
16	Amiens	25	7	4	14	-8	25
17	Angers	25	5	10	10	-11	25
18	Lille	24	7	4	13	-16	25
19	Troyes	23	7	3	13	-10	24
20	Metz	25	5	3	17	-23	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	12	0	0	+39	36
2	Monaco	13	10	2	1	+22	32
3	Marseille	12	8	3	1	+19	27
4	Dijon	13	8	2	3	+7	26
5	Lyon	11	6	4	1	+10	22
6	Nice	13	7	1	5	+2	22
7	Montpellier	13	5	5	3	+4	20
8	Bordeaux	12	6	2	4	+2	20
9	Guingamp	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	St Etienne	13	5	5	3	-1	20
11	Caen	13	6	2	5	-1	20
12	Nantes	11	6	1	4	+2	19
13	Toulouse	12	5	3	4	+2	18
14	Strasbourg	12	5	3	4	+1	18
15	Amiens	12	5	2	5	+2	17
16	Troyes	12	5	2	5	+0	17
17	Rennes	12	5	1	6	-4	16
18	Lille	12	4	3	5	-4	15
19	Angers	12	3	4	5	-8	13
20	Metz	13	3	1	9	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	9	2	2	+20	29
2	Lyon	13	8	2	3	+16	26
3	Marseille	13	7	4	2	+7	25
4	Monaco	12	6	3	3	+12	21
5	Nantes	13	5	3	5	-2	18
6	Montpellier	12	4	5	3	-1	17
7	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-1	15
8	Bordeaux	13	4	3	6	-4	15
9	Guingamp	12	4	1	7	-9	13
10	Angers	13	2	6	5	-3	12
11	Nice	12	3	3	6	-8	12
12	Caen	12	3	2	7	-9	11
13	Lille	12	3	1	8	-12	10
14	St Etienne	12	3	1	8	-13	10
15	Strasbourg	12	2	3	7	-14	9
16	Amiens	13	2	2	9	-10	8
17	Metz	12	2	2	8	-12	8
18	Toulouse	13	2	2	9	-13	8
19	Troyes	11	2	1	8	-10	7
20	Dijon	11	1	2	8	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.