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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Charleroi
U S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Lokeren
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 16/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
56%
28%
Points per game
2,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
60%
Both score Ø 51%
50%
52%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 7. · Lokeren 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 3 1 +26 45
2 Antwerp 26 9 10 7 +1 37
3 Kortrijk 26 10 6 10 +2 36
4 Anderlecht 16 10 4 2 +11 34
5 Beveren 26 9 7 10 +3 34
6 St Truiden 26 8 9 9 -10 33
7 Charleroi 16 9 5 2 +14 32
8 Gent 17 9 4 4 +16 31
9 Genk 18 7 8 3 +6 29
10 Oostende 26 8 5 13 -1 29
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 8 5 13 -12 29
12 Waregem 26 8 4 14 -8 28
13 Standard 18 7 6 5 +3 27
14 Lokeren 25 7 6 12 -13 27
15 Mechelen 26 5 7 14 -19 22
16 Eupen 26 4 9 13 -19 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Lokeren
3′
S. De Ridder 0–1
G. Hupperts
Nurio Fortuna 🔁
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
20′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Fall
K. Rezaei
53′
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ M. Fall
70′
75′
🔁 M. Mirić
↦ G. Hupperts
J. Remacle 🔁
↦ C. Benavente
82′
82′
🔁 A. Benchaib
↦ Francisco Cevallos
91′
🔁 T. De Sutter
↦ R. Söder
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau G
17 S. Marinos D
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
18 A. Baby M
14 C. Benavente M
22 G. Hendrickx M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
77 M. Fall F
9 K. Rezaei F
Bench (7)
25 Nurio Fortuna
99 C. Bedia
7 J. Remacle
35 P. Mandanda
28 E. Sağlık
6 G. Zajkov
13 C. Diandy

Coach: F. Mazzù

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
25 J. Filipović D
7 K. Overmeire M
22 S. De Ridder M
8 J. Michel M
10 Francisco Cevallos
3 G. Moerzeke D
27 R. Söder F
17 G. Hupperts F
Bench (7)
21 M. Mirić
28 A. Benchaib
9 T. De Sutter
26 A. Monsecour
35 T. Mpati Bibuangu
20 J. Rassoul
12 O. De Wolf

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.