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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Sparta Rotterdam

T U T S S

2–5

Full-time

Ajax

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 45%

19%

70%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

56%

78%

Both score Ø 58%

52%

63%

Average goals

2,7

3,6

Scored

0,9

2,7

Conceded

1,9

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

32% Possession 68%

11 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 16. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	28	23	2	3	+40	71
2	Ajax	27	19	4	4	+47	61
3	AZ Alkmaar	28	18	5	5	+25	59
4	Feyenoord	27	13	6	8	+20	45
5	Utrecht	24	11	7	6	+1	40
6	Zwolle	27	11	7	9	-3	40
7	Vitesse	24	10	8	6	+12	38
8	Heracles	28	10	7	11	-12	37
9	Den Haag	26	10	6	10	-4	36
10	Heerenveen	26	9	8	9	-4	35
11	Excelsior	28	10	5	13	-6	35
12	VVV Venlo	28	7	12	9	-9	33
13	Groningen	28	6	11	11	-4	29
14	Willem II	28	7	6	15	-11	27
15	NAC Breda	27	7	6	14	-13	27
16	Sparta Rotterdam	27	5	6	16	-26	21
17	Twente	28	4	7	17	-20	19
18	Roda	27	4	5	18	-33	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	13	1	0	+28	40
2	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+26	34
3	Heracles	14	9	3	2	+8	30
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	2	3	+11	29
5	Feyenoord	14	8	3	3	+11	27
6	Zwolle	13	7	3	3	+7	24
7	Utrecht	12	6	5	1	+4	23
8	Groningen	14	5	7	2	+7	22
9	Willem II	14	5	3	6	+5	18
10	Den Haag	13	5	3	5	+0	18
11	Heerenveen	13	5	3	5	-4	18
12	Vitesse	12	4	5	3	+4	17
13	NAC Breda	13	5	1	7	-7	16
14	VVV Venlo	14	3	5	6	-5	14
15	Twente	14	3	5	6	-6	14
16	Sparta Rotterdam	13	4	2	7	-11	14
17	Roda	14	3	3	8	-13	12
18	Excelsior	14	2	4	8	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	1	3	+12	31
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	3	2	+14	30
3	Ajax	13	8	3	2	+21	27
4	Excelsior	14	8	1	5	+2	25
5	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	VVV Venlo	14	4	7	3	-4	19
7	Feyenoord	13	5	3	5	+9	18
8	Den Haag	13	5	3	5	-4	18
9	Heerenveen	13	4	5	4	+0	17
10	Utrecht	12	5	2	5	-3	17
11	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-10	16
12	NAC Breda	14	2	5	7	-6	11
13	Willem II	14	2	3	9	-16	9
14	Groningen	14	1	4	9	-11	7
15	Sparta Rotterdam	14	1	4	9	-15	7
16	Heracles	14	1	4	9	-20	7
17	Twente	14	1	2	11	-14	5
18	Roda	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.