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Eredivisie

Referee: Erwin Blank

Heracles

U S T S S

4–0

Full-time

De Graafschap

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles De Graafschap

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

5,5

2,2

Scored

3,0

0,8

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

60%

20%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

80%

40%

Average goals

5,2

2,2

Scored

2,6

0,8

Conceded

2,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

27 Shots 13

10 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Heracles 4. · De Graafschap 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+18	15
2	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Heracles	5	3	1	1	+0	10
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+7	8
6	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Willem II	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	-6	7
9	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-6	6
10	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Vitesse	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Excelsior	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	De Graafschap	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Zwolle	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	NAC Breda	5	1	0	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+5	5
6	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Heerenveen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	VVV Venlo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	-3	6
5	Vitesse	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Feyenoord	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-4	3
16	De Graafschap	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.