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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
NAC Breda
T T S U T
3–0
Full-time
De Graafschap
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda De Graafschap
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
5,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
5,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
8 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match NAC Breda 17. · De Graafschap 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 VVV Venlo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Ajax 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Excelsior 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 For Sittard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Utrecht 1 0 0 1 -4 0
17 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

NAC Breda De Graafschap
1–0 M. te Vrede
M. Rosheuvel
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. Narsingh
↦ S. Nijland
48′
🟨 Myenty Abena
2–0 K. Mets
M. Rosheuvel
50′
56′
🔁 J. Thomassen
↦ D. van Mieghem
62′
🔁 B. Straalman
↦ M. Abena
3–0 G. Nijholt
L. Ilić
65′
F. Sporkslede 🔁
↦ G. Leigh
71′
80′
🟨 Leeroy Owusu
Paolo Fernandes 🔁
↦ L. Ilić
81′
M. Reuvers 🔁
↦ A. Kali
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1
1 A. Murić G
5 K. Mets D
4 M. Koch D
21 G. Leigh D
28 G. Nijholt M
27 A. Kali M
6 A. Verschueren M
8 M. El Allouchi M
40 L. Ilić
17 M. Rosheuvel M
9 M. te Vrede F
Bench (11)
2 F. Sporkslede
10 Paolo Fernandes
20 M. Reuvers
25 M. Birighitti
14 E. Palmer-Brown
15 J. Carolina
23 J. van der Gaag
26 K. Niemczycki
29 S. van Hooijdonk
33 G. Kastaneer
24 D. Klomp

Coach: M. van der Gaag

De Graafschap

4-3-3
17 H. Jurjus G
3 T. van de Pavert D
23 S. Nieuwpoort D
5 J. Tutuarima D
44 L. Owusu D
12 M. Abena D
10 S. Nijland M
18 E. Bakker M
20 Y. El Jebli M
11 D. van Mieghem F
22 F. Serrarens F
Bench (12)
7 F. Narsingh
19 J. Thomassen
2 B. Straalman
1 A. Etemadi
6 R. Klaasen
8 J. Vet
9 A. van den Hurk
13 J. Rondeel
24 E. van Overbeek
25 D. Burgzorg
28 F. Olijve
47 M. Hamdaoui

Coach: H. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.