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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Heerenveen

T S U T U

3–5

Full-time

Heracles

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,5

4,8

Scored

2,2

2,5

Conceded

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 88%

100%

75%

Average goals

4,3

4,5

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%

11 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 9. · Heracles 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+18	15
2	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+7	8
5	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Willem II	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Heracles	4	2	1	1	-2	7
8	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-6	6
9	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Excelsior	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	De Graafschap	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-7	4
14	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Vitesse	3	0	2	1	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+5	5
6	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	VVV Venlo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Feyenoord	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Vitesse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	De Graafschap	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.