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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Ajax
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Heracles
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 7
13 Free kicks against 25
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Apr -18 Ajax – Heracles 1–0 12. Aug -17 Heracles – Ajax 2–1 26. Feb -17 Ajax – Heracles 4–1 18. Sep -16 Heracles – Ajax 0–2 26. Jan -16 Ajax – Heracles 0–0

Match report

Ajax Heracles
Half-time 0–0
K. Huntelaar 🔁
↦ K. Sierhuis
56′
F. de Jong 🔁
↦ M. Wöber
56′
65′
🟨 Lerin Duarte
72′
🟨 Robin Propper
77′
🔁 A. Merkel
↦ B. Kuwas
79′
🔁 T. Breukers
↦ W. Droste
82′
🔁 L. Czyborra
↦ B. van Hintum
84′
⚽ K. Peterson 0–1
T. Breukers
Z. Labyad 🔁
↦ David Neres
85′
1–1 M. de Ligt ⚽
88′
90′
🟨 Kristoffer Peterson
90′
🟨 Tim Breukers
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
24 A. Onana G
17 D. Blind D
4 M. de Ligt D
5 M. Wöber D
22 H. Ziyech M
6 D. van de Beek M
15 C. Eiting M
12 N. Mazraoui D
10 D. Tadić M
39 K. Sierhuis F
7 David Neres F
Bench (8)
9 K. Huntelaar
21 F. de Jong
19 Z. Labyad
20 L. Schöne
2 R. Kristensen
31 N. Tagliafico
26 K. Lamprou
30 D. de Wit

Coach: E. ten Hag

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
12 W. Droste D
5 B. van Hintum D
4 R. Pröpper D
23 M. Rossmann D
8 L. Duarte M
10 Y. van Nieff M
14 Mohammed Osman M
7 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
9 Adrián Dalmau F
Bench (9)
52 A. Merkel
2 T. Breukers
3 L. Czyborra
6 D. Van den Buijs
31 S. Sama
19 V. Vermeij
16 M. Brouwer
29 R. Niemeijer
11 S. van der Water

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.