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Eredivisie
Referee: Joey Kooij
Heracles
T U U S U
4–2
Full-time
Den Haag
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 10. · Den Haag 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 NAC Breda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
10 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Excelsior 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 For Sittard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Utrecht 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Den Haag
1–0 K. Peterson
3′
2–0 B. van Hintum
7′
12′
D. Malone 2–1
A. El Khayati
38′
🟨 Sheraldo Becker
38′
T. Breukers 3–1
own goal
4–1 Adrián Dalmau
43′
45′
🟨 Tom Beugelsdijk
Half-time 4–1
46′
🔁 N. Kuipers
↦ T. Beugelsdijk
A. Merkel 🔁
↦ Y. van Nieff
56′
67′
🔁 T. Goppel
↦ E. Hooi
5–1 K. Peterson
T. Breukers
68′
70′
🔁 J. Goossens
↦ L. Immers
Alexander Merkel 🟨
71′
73′
🟨 Wilfried Kanon
Adrian Dalmau 🟨
80′
S. van der Water 🔁
↦ B. Kuwas
81′
W. Droste 🔁
↦ T. Breukers
85′
90′
🟨 Melvyn Lorenzen
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
5 B. van Hintum D
4 R. Pröpper D
6 D. Van den Buijs D
8 L. Duarte M
10 Y. van Nieff M
14 Mohammed Osman M
7 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
9 Adrián Dalmau F
Bench (8)
52 A. Merkel
11 S. van der Water
12 W. Droste
3 L. Czyborra
16 M. Brouwer
19 V. Vermeij
29 R. Niemeijer
31 S. Sama

Coach: F. Wormuth

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 I. Groothuizen G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
10 L. Immers M
2 D. Malone M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
77 E. Hooi F
7 S. Becker F
33 M. Lorenzen F
Bench (10)
20 N. Kuipers
26 T. Goppel
11 J. Goossens
6 D. Gorter
15 B. Kuipers
18 M. Havekotte
19 S. Pinas
22 R. Zwinkels
25 R. Polley
28 M. van Kins

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Joey Kooij · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.