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Eredivisie

Referee: Rob Dieperink

For Sittard

U T T

1–1

Full-time

Utrecht

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match For Sittard 17. · Utrecht 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Willem II	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	VVV Venlo	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	De Graafschap	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-7	4
14	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Vitesse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	VVV Venlo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-4	3
11	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Vitesse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	De Graafschap	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.