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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
NAC Breda
S T T T T
0–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,0
4,5
Scored
1,2
4,0
Conceded
2,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+3,5
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,0
4,5
Scored
1,2
4,0
Conceded
2,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+3,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 10
8 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match NAC Breda 18. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 6 0 0 +21 18
2 Ajax 6 4 1 1 +10 13
3 Feyenoord 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 Heracles 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 +9 11
6 VVV Venlo 6 3 2 1 +4 11
7 Willem II 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 Den Haag 6 2 1 3 -6 7
9 FC Emmen 6 2 1 3 -7 7
10 For Sittard 6 1 3 2 -2 6
11 Vitesse 5 1 3 1 -2 6
12 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 -3 6
13 Excelsior 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Zwolle 6 2 0 4 -4 6
15 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 -4 5
16 De Graafschap 6 1 1 4 -7 4
17 Groningen 5 1 0 4 -6 3
18 NAC Breda 6 1 0 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

NAC Breda PSV Eindhoven
Mitchell Te Vrede 🟨
17′
Half-time 0–1
47′
L. de Jong 0–1
Gianluca Nijholt 🟨
51′
51′
🟨 Luuk de Jong
Mikhael Rosheuvel 🟨
52′
58′
🟨 Pablo Rosario
63′
🔁 D. Malen
↦ G. Pereiro
G. Korte 🔁
↦ G. Nijholt
72′
75′
🟨 Hirving Lozano
84′
🔁 B. Ramselaar
↦ H. Lozano
M. El Allouchi 🔁
↦ K. Mets
88′
90′
🟨 Jeroen Zoet
92′
D. Malen 0–2
S. Bergwijn
93′
🔁 Mauro Júnior
↦ S. Bergwijn
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1
1 B. van Leer G
5 K. Mets D
4 M. Koch D
2 F. Sporkslede D
15 J. Carolina D
28 G. Nijholt M
27 A. Kali M
17 M. Rosheuvel M
9 M. te Vrede F
11 R. Mühren M
33 G. Kastaneer F
Bench (9)
7 G. Korte
8 M. El Allouchi
14 E. Palmer-Brown
16 T. Zwarthoed
20 M. Reuvers
21 G. Leigh
24 D. Klomp
26 K. Niemczycki
40 L. Ilić

Coach: M. van der Gaag

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
6 Angeliño D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
7 G. Pereiro M
18 P. Rosario M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (9)
14 D. Malen
23 B. Ramselaar
47 Mauro Júnior
2 N. Isimat-Mirin
3 A. Behich
13 E. Room
20 T. Sainsbury
25 É. Gutiérrez
32 M. Sadílek

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.