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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Utrecht
T T T U S
0–0
Full-time
Excelsior
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 20/22 matches
Win Ø 36%
40%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
60%
73%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
3,1
3,9
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
29 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 2
12 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 6. · Excelsior 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 22 18 3 1 +58 57
2 Ajax 22 17 2 3 +58 53
3 Feyenoord 22 13 3 6 +19 42
4 AZ Alkmaar 22 12 4 6 +20 40
5 Heracles 22 11 2 9 +1 35
6 Utrecht 20 8 5 7 +2 29
7 VVV Venlo 23 8 5 10 -11 29
8 Vitesse 19 7 6 6 +2 27
9 Den Haag 22 7 6 9 -11 27
10 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -12 26
11 Willem II 22 7 4 11 -8 25
12 Zwolle 22 7 4 11 -9 25
13 Excelsior 22 7 4 11 -22 25
14 Groningen 20 7 3 10 -2 24
15 Heerenveen 22 5 9 8 -5 24
16 FC Emmen 22 6 6 10 -21 24
17 De Graafschap 22 5 3 14 -29 18
18 NAC Breda 22 4 4 14 -30 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Excelsior
Sean Klaiber 🟨
9′
21′
🟨 Ryan Koolwijk
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Jeffrey Fortes
N. Venema 🔁
↦ J. Bahebeck
63′
E. Bergström 🔁
↦ T. Letschert
66′
67′
🔁 R. van der Meer
↦ L. Burnet
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
78′
80′
🔁 M. Anderson
↦ D. Eckert
87′
🔁 D. Haspolat
↦ M. Edwards
90′
🟨 Ali Messaoud
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-3
1 D. Jensen G
14 W. Janssen D
15 T. Letschert D
17 S. Klaiber D
8 J. van Overeem M
22 S. van de Streek M
24 N. Gavory D
10 Simon Gustafson M
19 J. Bahebeck F
7 G. Kerk F
26 O. Boussaid M
Bench (8)
29 N. Venema
13 E. Bergström
30 M. Kramer
6 R. Strieder
2 M. van der Maarel
27 L. Görtler
5 L. Guwara
16 N. Marsman

Coach: D. Advocaat

Excelsior

4-3-3
1 A. Damen G
28 L. Burnet D
15 J. Mattheij D
4 T. Oude Kotte D
8 R. Koolwijk M
22 Jeffry Fortes D
14 A. Messaoud M
18 M. Edwards F
6 J. Schouten M
34 M. El Hamdaoui F
11 D. Eckert F
Bench (11)
5 R. van der Meer
19 M. Anderson
21 D. Haspolat
7 A. Hadouir
2 S. Horemans
9 E. Ómarsson
3 H. Matthys
20 S. Stevens
23 M. de Fockert
24 D. Mahmudov
17 D. Payne

Coach: A. Poldervaart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.