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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

De Graafschap

U S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Utrecht

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

4,5

4,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 21/19 matches

Win Ø 31%

24%

37%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

67%

63%

Both score Ø 48%

38%

58%

Average goals

3,4

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

2,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match De Graafschap 17. · Utrecht 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	22	18	3	1	+58	57
2	Ajax	22	17	2	3	+58	53
3	Feyenoord	22	13	3	6	+19	42
4	AZ Alkmaar	22	12	4	6	+20	40
5	Heracles	21	10	2	9	+0	32
6	VVV Venlo	22	8	5	9	-10	29
7	Vitesse	19	7	6	6	+2	27
8	Den Haag	22	7	6	9	-11	27
9	Utrecht	19	7	5	7	+1	26
10	For Sittard	22	7	5	10	-12	26
11	Willem II	22	7	4	11	-8	25
12	Zwolle	22	7	4	11	-9	25
13	Excelsior	22	7	4	11	-22	25
14	Groningen	20	7	3	10	-2	24
15	Heerenveen	22	5	9	8	-5	24
16	FC Emmen	22	6	6	10	-21	24
17	De Graafschap	21	5	3	13	-28	18
18	NAC Breda	22	4	4	14	-30	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+40	33
2	Feyenoord	11	10	0	1	+21	30
3	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+41	29
4	Heracles	11	8	0	3	+13	24
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	3	2	+15	21
6	VVV Venlo	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	For Sittard	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Vitesse	9	5	3	1	+4	18
9	Excelsior	12	5	3	4	-6	18
10	Utrecht	10	5	2	3	+8	17
11	De Graafschap	11	5	1	5	+1	16
12	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	-5	15
13	NAC Breda	11	4	2	5	-4	14
14	Groningen	10	4	1	5	+3	13
15	Zwolle	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	FC Emmen	11	2	4	5	-7	10
17	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Heerenveen	11	1	5	5	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+18	24
2	Ajax	11	8	0	3	+17	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	1	4	+5	19
4	Willem II	12	5	2	5	-3	17
5	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+4	16
6	Zwolle	11	4	2	5	-5	14
7	FC Emmen	11	4	2	5	-14	14
8	Feyenoord	11	3	3	5	-2	12
9	Den Haag	11	3	3	5	-6	12
10	Groningen	10	3	2	5	-5	11
11	VVV Venlo	12	3	2	7	-17	11
12	Vitesse	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Utrecht	9	2	3	4	-7	9
14	Heracles	10	2	2	6	-13	8
15	For Sittard	11	2	2	7	-18	8
16	Excelsior	10	2	1	7	-16	7
17	NAC Breda	11	0	2	9	-26	2
18	De Graafschap	10	0	2	8	-29	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.