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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Groningen

S T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Utrecht

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

5,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

3,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%

5 Shots 30

3 Shots on target 13

1 Blocked shots 10

10 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 13

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 13. · Utrecht 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Zwolle	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	VVV Venlo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Heracles	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-3	2
13	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	NAC Breda	3	0	1	2	-6	1
15	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Twente	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Den Haag	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Willem II	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	NAC Breda	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.