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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Den Haag

U U S S T

3–1

Full-time

Excelsior

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 26%

29%

23%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

Both score Ø 58%

61%

55%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,9

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 9

3 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Den Haag 12. · Excelsior 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	32	26	2	4	+81	80
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	24	5	2	+68	77
3	Feyenoord	32	19	5	8	+33	62
4	AZ Alkmaar	32	16	7	9	+22	55
5	Heracles	30	15	3	12	+2	48
6	Willem II	31	13	5	13	-6	44
7	Utrecht	28	12	7	9	+5	43
8	Vitesse	28	10	10	8	+8	40
9	Groningen	29	11	6	12	+0	39
10	Heerenveen	32	9	11	12	-8	38
11	VVV Venlo	32	10	8	14	-16	38
12	Den Haag	31	9	9	13	-13	36
13	Zwolle	31	10	5	16	-12	35
14	For Sittard	32	9	7	16	-24	34
15	FC Emmen	32	8	8	16	-33	32
16	De Graafschap	32	8	5	19	-29	29
17	Excelsior	31	7	6	18	-34	27
18	NAC Breda	32	5	7	20	-44	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	15	1	0	+49	46
2	Ajax	16	14	2	0	+54	44
3	Feyenoord	16	14	0	2	+29	42
4	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	3	3	+19	33
5	Heracles	15	11	0	4	+15	33
6	Vitesse	14	7	6	1	+10	27
7	For Sittard	16	7	5	4	+7	26
8	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+10	25
9	Groningen	15	8	1	6	+6	25
10	VVV Venlo	16	7	3	6	+2	24
11	De Graafschap	16	6	3	7	+0	21
12	Willem II	15	6	2	7	-3	20
13	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-5	19
14	Excelsior	16	5	4	7	-11	19
15	Zwolle	15	5	3	7	+1	18
16	FC Emmen	16	4	5	7	-9	17
17	NAC Breda	16	4	5	7	-12	17
18	Heerenveen	16	3	7	6	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	0	4	+27	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	9	4	2	+19	31
3	Willem II	16	7	3	6	-3	24
4	AZ Alkmaar	16	6	4	6	+3	22
5	Heerenveen	16	6	4	6	+1	22
6	Feyenoord	16	5	5	6	+4	20
7	Utrecht	14	5	3	6	-5	18
8	Den Haag	16	4	5	7	-8	17
9	Zwolle	16	5	2	9	-13	17
10	Heracles	15	4	3	8	-13	15
11	FC Emmen	16	4	3	9	-24	15
12	Groningen	14	3	5	6	-6	14
13	VVV Venlo	16	3	5	8	-18	14
14	Vitesse	14	3	4	7	-2	13
15	Excelsior	15	2	2	11	-23	8
16	De Graafschap	16	2	2	12	-29	8
17	For Sittard	16	2	2	12	-31	8
18	NAC Breda	16	1	2	13	-32	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.