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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez

Sevilla

T S S S T

5–0

Full-time

Vallecano

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 33%

45%

21%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

58%

Both score Ø 55%

48%

61%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

21 Shots 12

11 Shots on target 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Vallecano 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	34	24	8	2	+53	80
2	Ath Madrid	34	21	8	5	+28	71
3	Real Madrid	33	20	4	9	+21	64
4	Getafe	33	14	12	7	+14	54
5	Sevilla	33	15	7	11	+12	52
6	Valencia	34	12	16	6	+9	52
7	Ath Bilbao	34	12	13	9	-3	49
8	Alaves	34	12	10	12	-9	46
9	Espanol	34	11	10	13	-9	43
10	Betis	34	12	7	15	-10	43
11	Sociedad	33	10	11	12	-2	41
12	Leganes	34	10	11	13	-6	41
13	Eibar	34	9	13	12	-5	40
14	Levante	34	9	10	15	-10	37
15	Villarreal	33	8	12	13	-4	36
16	Celta	34	9	9	16	-9	36
17	Valladolid	34	8	11	15	-18	35
18	Girona	34	8	10	16	-13	34
19	Huesca	34	6	11	17	-18	29
20	Vallecano	33	7	7	19	-21	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	14	2	1	+21	44
2	Barcelona	17	13	3	1	+31	42
3	Real Madrid	17	12	1	4	+18	37
4	Sevilla	16	10	3	3	+15	33
5	Getafe	16	10	1	5	+13	31
6	Ath Bilbao	17	8	7	2	+5	31
7	Espanol	17	9	3	5	+1	30
8	Eibar	17	8	5	4	+9	29
9	Valencia	17	6	10	1	+11	28
10	Leganes	17	7	7	3	+5	28
11	Alaves	17	6	8	3	+0	26
12	Celta	17	7	4	6	+4	25
13	Betis	17	7	4	6	-2	25
14	Sociedad	16	5	6	5	+1	21
15	Levante	17	5	6	6	-3	21
16	Villarreal	17	4	7	6	+1	19
17	Huesca	17	4	6	7	-3	18
18	Vallecano	17	4	6	7	-7	18
19	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-9	17
20	Girona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Ath Madrid	17	7	6	4	+7	27
3	Real Madrid	16	8	3	5	+3	27
4	Valencia	17	6	6	5	-2	24
5	Getafe	17	4	11	2	+1	23
6	Girona	17	6	4	7	-2	22
7	Sociedad	17	5	5	7	-3	20
8	Alaves	17	6	2	9	-9	20
9	Sevilla	17	5	4	8	-3	19
10	Betis	17	5	3	9	-8	18
11	Ath Bilbao	17	4	6	7	-8	18
12	Valladolid	17	4	6	7	-9	18
13	Villarreal	16	4	5	7	-5	17
14	Levante	17	4	4	9	-7	16
15	Espanol	17	2	7	8	-10	13
16	Leganes	17	3	4	10	-11	13
17	Celta	17	2	5	10	-13	11
18	Eibar	17	1	8	8	-14	11
19	Huesca	17	2	5	10	-15	11
20	Vallecano	16	3	1	12	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.