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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Excelsior

T T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Willem II

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,7

4,8

Scored

0,5

2,7

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 33%

23%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

60%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

63%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 17. · Willem II 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	31	25	2	4	+79	77
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	23	5	2	+66	74
3	Feyenoord	31	18	5	8	+29	59
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	15	7	9	+21	52
5	Heracles	29	15	3	11	+3	48
6	Willem II	30	13	4	13	-6	43
7	Vitesse	27	10	10	7	+10	40
8	Utrecht	27	11	7	9	+4	40
9	Groningen	29	11	6	12	+0	39
10	Heerenveen	31	9	10	12	-8	37
11	VVV Venlo	31	10	7	14	-16	37
12	Den Haag	30	9	9	12	-11	36
13	Zwolle	31	10	5	16	-12	35
14	FC Emmen	31	8	8	15	-32	32
15	For Sittard	30	8	7	15	-24	31
16	De Graafschap	31	7	5	19	-30	26
17	Excelsior	30	7	5	18	-34	26
18	NAC Breda	30	5	7	18	-39	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+47	43
2	Feyenoord	16	14	0	2	+29	42
3	Ajax	15	13	2	0	+52	41
4	Heracles	15	11	0	4	+15	33
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	9	3	3	+18	30
6	Vitesse	14	7	6	1	+10	27
7	Groningen	15	8	1	6	+6	25
8	VVV Venlo	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	For Sittard	15	6	5	4	+6	23
10	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+9	22
11	Willem II	15	6	2	7	-3	20
12	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-5	19
13	Zwolle	15	5	3	7	+1	18
14	De Graafschap	15	5	3	7	-1	18
15	Excelsior	15	5	3	7	-11	18
16	NAC Breda	15	4	5	6	-8	17
17	FC Emmen	16	4	5	7	-9	17
18	Heerenveen	15	3	6	6	-9	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	0	4	+27	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	9	4	2	+19	31
3	Willem II	15	7	2	6	-3	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	16	6	4	6	+3	22
5	Heerenveen	16	6	4	6	+1	22
6	Utrecht	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Feyenoord	15	4	5	6	+0	17
8	Den Haag	15	4	5	6	-6	17
9	Zwolle	16	5	2	9	-13	17
10	Heracles	14	4	3	7	-12	15
11	FC Emmen	15	4	3	8	-23	15
12	Groningen	14	3	5	6	-6	14
13	Vitesse	13	3	4	6	+0	13
14	VVV Venlo	15	3	4	8	-18	13
15	Excelsior	15	2	2	11	-23	8
16	De Graafschap	16	2	2	12	-29	8
17	For Sittard	15	2	2	11	-30	8
18	NAC Breda	15	1	2	12	-31	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.