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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
PSV Eindhoven
S T S U S
3–1
Full-time
Den Haag
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 54%
77%
30%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
80%
57%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
3,7
3,4
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Den Haag 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 31 25 2 4 +79 77
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 23 5 2 +66 74
3 Feyenoord 31 18 5 8 +29 59
4 AZ Alkmaar 31 15 7 9 +21 52
5 Heracles 29 15 3 11 +3 48
6 Willem II 31 13 5 13 -6 44
7 Vitesse 27 10 10 7 +10 40
8 Utrecht 27 11 7 9 +4 40
9 Groningen 29 11 6 12 +0 39
10 Heerenveen 31 9 10 12 -8 37
11 VVV Venlo 31 10 7 14 -16 37
12 Den Haag 30 9 9 12 -11 36
13 Zwolle 31 10 5 16 -12 35
14 For Sittard 31 9 7 15 -23 34
15 FC Emmen 31 8 8 15 -32 32
16 Excelsior 31 7 6 18 -34 27
17 De Graafschap 31 7 5 19 -30 26
18 NAC Breda 31 5 7 19 -40 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Den Haag
1–0 D. Dumfries
H. Lozano
20′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 T. Goppel
↦ D. Gorter
74′
🔁 M. Lorenzen
↦ D. Malone
É. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ M. Sadílek
77′
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
77′
79′
🔁 T. Necid
↦ E. Falkenburg
2–0 L. de Jong
C. Gakpo
83′
88′
T. Necid 2–1
M. Lorenzen
3–1 D. Malen
Angeliño
92′
J. Hendrix 🔁
↦ Angeliño
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
6 Angeliño D
22 D. Dumfries D
32 M. Sadílek M
18 P. Rosario M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
14 D. Malen F
Bench (11)
25 É. Gutiérrez
19 C. Gakpo
8 J. Hendrix
3 A. Behich
7 G. Pereiro
10 M. Romero
20 T. Sainsbury
33 J. Teze
13 E. Room
52 M. Ihattaren
16 D. Rigo

Coach: M. van Bommel

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
5 W. Kanon D
6 D. Gorter M
30 E. Falkenburg F
10 L. Immers M
2 D. Malone M
23 A. El Khayati M
11 J. Goossens M
17 D. Bakker M
7 S. Becker F
Bench (10)
26 T. Goppel
33 M. Lorenzen
9 T. Necid
21 M. Rieder
34 Y. Boussakou
18 M. Havekotte
1 I. Groothuizen
20 K. Ebecilio
77 E. Hooi
25 R. Polley

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.